**Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources such as the Met Office and Yr.no consistently project an overnight low of 8–10°C for Ankara on September 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or variable winds.** This range reflects typical late-September radiative cooling in the city’s continental highland climate, where clear nights allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 20–23°C. Historical averages place the September 25 minimum around 9–10°C, and current guidance shows no strong synoptic drivers—such as fronts or significant moisture—that would push temperatures substantially below or above this band. Minor differences among model runs arise mainly from small variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind, creating the close market split between sub-6°C and 15°C+ outcomes while concentrating probability near the forecast consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final data for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 25?
5°C or below 100%
15°C or higher 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
5°C or below
100%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
98%
5°C or below 100%
15°C or higher 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
5°C or below
100%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources such as the Met Office and Yr.no consistently project an overnight low of 8–10°C for Ankara on September 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or variable winds.** This range reflects typical late-September radiative cooling in the city’s continental highland climate, where clear nights allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 20–23°C. Historical averages place the September 25 minimum around 9–10°C, and current guidance shows no strong synoptic drivers—such as fronts or significant moisture—that would push temperatures substantially below or above this band. Minor differences among model runs arise mainly from small variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind, creating the close market split between sub-6°C and 15°C+ outcomes while concentrating probability near the forecast consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final data for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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