**Diverging short-range model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and shifting wind patterns is the main factor splitting trader sentiment nearly evenly between an 11°C-or-lower minimum (42.5%) and a 21°C-or-higher minimum (41.0%) for Buenos Aires on September 25.** Current northerly flow and partly cloudy skies favor milder overnight lows near 13–15°C according to the latest ECMWF and GFS runs, yet any earlier southerly shift or clearer skies could enhance cooling below 12°C, while persistent cloud or stronger mixing could keep the minimum above 20°C. This genuine forecast spread, typical for spring transitional days when synoptic features evolve rapidly, explains the clustered probabilities around 13–17°C outcomes and the market’s reflection of real uncertainty in official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble spreads. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 25?
21°C or higher 82%
11°C or below 42%
13°C 23%
15°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
11°C or below
42%
12°C
19%
13°C
23%
14°C
22%
15°C
23%
16°C
19%
17°C
20%
18°C
18%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
82%
21°C or higher 82%
11°C or below 42%
13°C 23%
15°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
11°C or below
$47 KL.
42%
12°C
$0 KL.
19%
13°C
$0 KL.
23%
14°C
$0 KL.
22%
15°C
$0 KL.
23%
16°C
$0 KL.
19%
17°C
$0 KL.
20%
18°C
$10 KL.
18%
19°C
$10 KL.
13%
20°C
$10 KL.
13%
21°C or higher
$10 KL.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Diverging short-range model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and shifting wind patterns is the main factor splitting trader sentiment nearly evenly between an 11°C-or-lower minimum (42.5%) and a 21°C-or-higher minimum (41.0%) for Buenos Aires on September 25.**
Current northerly flow and partly cloudy skies favor milder overnight lows near 13–15°C according to the latest ECMWF and GFS runs, yet any earlier southerly shift or clearer skies could enhance cooling below 12°C, while persistent cloud or stronger mixing could keep the minimum above 20°C. This genuine forecast spread, typical for spring transitional days when synoptic features evolve rapidly, explains the clustered probabilities around 13–17°C outcomes and the market’s reflection of real uncertainty in official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble spreads. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$87Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Diverging short-range model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and shifting wind patterns is the main factor splitting trader sentiment nearly evenly between an 11°C-or-lower minimum (42.5%) and a 21°C-or-higher minimum (41.0%) for Buenos Aires on September 25.**
Current northerly flow and partly cloudy skies favor milder overnight lows near 13–15°C according to the latest ECMWF and GFS runs, yet any earlier southerly shift or clearer skies could enhance cooling below 12°C, while persistent cloud or stronger mixing could keep the minimum above 20°C. This genuine forecast spread, typical for spring transitional days when synoptic features evolve rapidly, explains the clustered probabilities around 13–17°C outcomes and the market’s reflection of real uncertainty in official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble spreads. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$87Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...**Diverging short-range model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and shifting wind patterns is the main factor splitting trader sentiment nearly evenly between an 11°C-or-lower minimum (42.5%) and a 21°C-or-higher minimum (41.0%) for Buenos Aires on September 25.** Current northerly flow and partly cloudy skies favor milder overnight lows near 13–15°C according to the latest ECMWF and GFS runs, yet any earlier southerly shift or clearer skies could enhance cooling below 12°C, while persistent cloud or stronger mixing could keep the minimum above 20°C. This genuine forecast spread, typical for spring transitional days when synoptic features evolve rapidly, explains the clustered probabilities around 13–17°C outcomes and the market’s reflection of real uncertainty in official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble spreads. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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