Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a warm northerly flow ahead of a weak frontal passage, supporting afternoon highs in Buenos Aires near 25–27°C on September 25 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. This setup favors the market's clustered outcomes around 27–29°C, as stronger solar heating in late Southern Hemisphere spring can push peaks higher if cloud cover remains limited, while an earlier wind shift or increased mixing could cap readings near 26–27°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and afternoon model runs will refine boundary-layer details and exact timing of any cooling, directly influencing resolution near the 28°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 25?
28°C 41%
29°C 25%
27°C 21%
30°C or higher 17%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
10%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
25%
30°C or higher
17%
28°C 41%
29°C 25%
27°C 21%
30°C or higher 17%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
10%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
25%
30°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a warm northerly flow ahead of a weak frontal passage, supporting afternoon highs in Buenos Aires near 25–27°C on September 25 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. This setup favors the market's clustered outcomes around 27–29°C, as stronger solar heating in late Southern Hemisphere spring can push peaks higher if cloud cover remains limited, while an earlier wind shift or increased mixing could cap readings near 26–27°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and afternoon model runs will refine boundary-layer details and exact timing of any cooling, directly influencing resolution near the 28°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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