Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Friday with morning low clouds and fog transitioning to sunny conditions under light onshore flow, supporting highs in the mid-80s across much of the Los Angeles basin. These values sit several degrees above the late-September climatological average near 76°F, driven by a shrinking marine layer and weak pressure gradients that limit sea-breeze cooling. Market-implied odds favoring 76–81°F likely reflect trader emphasis on coastal station variability, potential for deeper morning stratus, or localized marine-layer strengthening that could cap the official daily maximum. With resolution tied to the next 24-hour forecast cycle, any shift in GFS or ECMWF runs or observed gradients could quickly adjust probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 25?
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
82-83°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
82-83°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
73°F or below
$82 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$385 KL.
8%
76-77°F
$1,873 KL.
24%
78-79°F
$443 KL.
36%
80-81°F
$967 KL.
21%
82-83°F
$238 KL.
9%
84-85°F
$248 KL.
3%
86-87°F
$15 KL.
2%
88-89°F
$105 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$100 KL.
<1%
92°F or higher
$145 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Friday with morning low clouds and fog transitioning to sunny conditions under light onshore flow, supporting highs in the mid-80s across much of the Los Angeles basin. These values sit several degrees above the late-September climatological average near 76°F, driven by a shrinking marine layer and weak pressure gradients that limit sea-breeze cooling. Market-implied odds favoring 76–81°F likely reflect trader emphasis on coastal station variability, potential for deeper morning stratus, or localized marine-layer strengthening that could cap the official daily maximum. With resolution tied to the next 24-hour forecast cycle, any shift in GFS or ECMWF runs or observed gradients could quickly adjust probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,601Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Friday with morning low clouds and fog transitioning to sunny conditions under light onshore flow, supporting highs in the mid-80s across much of the Los Angeles basin. These values sit several degrees above the late-September climatological average near 76°F, driven by a shrinking marine layer and weak pressure gradients that limit sea-breeze cooling. Market-implied odds favoring 76–81°F likely reflect trader emphasis on coastal station variability, potential for deeper morning stratus, or localized marine-layer strengthening that could cap the official daily maximum. With resolution tied to the next 24-hour forecast cycle, any shift in GFS or ECMWF runs or observed gradients could quickly adjust probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,601Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Friday with morning low clouds and fog transitioning to sunny conditions under light onshore flow, supporting highs in the mid-80s across much of the Los Angeles basin. These values sit several degrees above the late-September climatological average near 76°F, driven by a shrinking marine layer and weak pressure gradients that limit sea-breeze cooling. Market-implied odds favoring 76–81°F likely reflect trader emphasis on coastal station variability, potential for deeper morning stratus, or localized marine-layer strengthening that could cap the official daily maximum. With resolution tied to the next 24-hour forecast cycle, any shift in GFS or ECMWF runs or observed gradients could quickly adjust probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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