Recent forecasts from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Cape Town on August 27 centered around 12–13°C under overcast skies with light late sprinkles and moderate southerly winds. This reflects stabilization after earlier August cold fronts, with onshore flow and high pressure limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing deeper chill. Model spreads arise mainly from cloud thickness and wind speed variations, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Traders weight 12°C and 13°C highest because historical August climatology shows typical minima near 10°C but recent observations trend milder. Updated model runs and official bulletins in the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around the observed overnight low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 27?
10°C 46%
13°C 29%
12°C 28%
14°C 24%
8°C or below
6%
9°C
19%
10°C
46%
11°C
23%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
24%
15°C
11%
16°C
15%
17°C
12%
18°C or higher
9%
10°C 46%
13°C 29%
12°C 28%
14°C 24%
8°C or below
6%
9°C
19%
10°C
46%
11°C
23%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
24%
15°C
11%
16°C
15%
17°C
12%
18°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Cape Town on August 27 centered around 12–13°C under overcast skies with light late sprinkles and moderate southerly winds. This reflects stabilization after earlier August cold fronts, with onshore flow and high pressure limiting radiative cooling overnight while preventing deeper chill. Model spreads arise mainly from cloud thickness and wind speed variations, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Traders weight 12°C and 13°C highest because historical August climatology shows typical minima near 10°C but recent observations trend milder. Updated model runs and official bulletins in the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around the observed overnight low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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