**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light winds over Cape Town through September 7, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling but from already mild baseline temperatures.** With high pressure dominating and no significant cold air advection expected, the minimum is projected near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market’s closely grouped probabilities around 13–19 °C. Historical September minima average near 11–12 °C, so the current mild pattern reflects spring warming and stable anticyclonic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical nocturnal cooling rates and the warmer-than-normal starting point, with resolution hinging on the precise early-morning reading at official stations. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind will be the key near-term drivers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
19°C or higher 70%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
18°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
13%
10°C
9%
11°C
49%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
30%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C or higher
70%
19°C or higher 70%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
18°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
13%
10°C
$0 KL.
9%
11°C
$0 KL.
49%
12°C
$0 KL.
28%
13°C
$0 KL.
31%
14°C
$0 KL.
30%
15°C
$0 KL.
49%
16°C
$0 KL.
27%
17°C
$0 KL.
27%
18°C
$0 KL.
49%
19°C or higher
$0 KL.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light winds over Cape Town through September 7, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling but from already mild baseline temperatures.** With high pressure dominating and no significant cold air advection expected, the minimum is projected near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market’s closely grouped probabilities around 13–19 °C. Historical September minima average near 11–12 °C, so the current mild pattern reflects spring warming and stable anticyclonic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical nocturnal cooling rates and the warmer-than-normal starting point, with resolution hinging on the precise early-morning reading at official stations. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light winds over Cape Town through September 7, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling but from already mild baseline temperatures.** With high pressure dominating and no significant cold air advection expected, the minimum is projected near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market’s closely grouped probabilities around 13–19 °C. Historical September minima average near 11–12 °C, so the current mild pattern reflects spring warming and stable anticyclonic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical nocturnal cooling rates and the warmer-than-normal starting point, with resolution hinging on the precise early-morning reading at official stations. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light winds over Cape Town through September 7, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling but from already mild baseline temperatures.** With high pressure dominating and no significant cold air advection expected, the minimum is projected near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market’s closely grouped probabilities around 13–19 °C. Historical September minima average near 11–12 °C, so the current mild pattern reflects spring warming and stable anticyclonic conditions. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical nocturnal cooling rates and the warmer-than-normal starting point, with resolution hinging on the precise early-morning reading at official stations. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind will be the key near-term drivers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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