Recent southerly wind shifts and a cooler air mass advection following mid-week rains have positioned 13°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires' September 5 high, with market-implied odds at 46.5% and 14°C close behind at 32.5%. Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models converge on a daytime maximum near 12–13°C under mostly clear skies, with brisk southwest winds enhancing mixing and limiting afternoon warming. This represents a notable drop below the September climatological average of about 19°C, driven by post-frontal stabilization rather than persistent cloud cover or precipitation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 12–14°C outcomes against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects, with resolution expected within hours of the daily maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?
13°C 48%
14°C 33%
12°C 14%
15°C 6%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
48%
14°C
33%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 48%
14°C 33%
12°C 14%
15°C 6%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
48%
14°C
33%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent southerly wind shifts and a cooler air mass advection following mid-week rains have positioned 13°C as the leading outcome for Buenos Aires' September 5 high, with market-implied odds at 46.5% and 14°C close behind at 32.5%. Official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models converge on a daytime maximum near 12–13°C under mostly clear skies, with brisk southwest winds enhancing mixing and limiting afternoon warming. This represents a notable drop below the September climatological average of about 19°C, driven by post-frontal stabilization rather than persistent cloud cover or precipitation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 12–14°C outcomes against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects, with resolution expected within hours of the daily maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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