Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate typical late-August lows of 22–25°C in Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin, driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. The closely matched market odds around 23–24°C reflect model consensus on moderate wind patterns and residual monsoon moisture, which prevent sharper drops below 22°C while capping highs that could elevate minima. Key differentiators include potential for clearer skies enhancing surface heat loss versus increased precipitation or urban heat retention keeping readings near 25°C; official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies on 48-hour model runs will likely refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 22?
24°C 42%
23°C 40%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
40%
24°C
42%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 42%
23°C 40%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
40%
24°C
42%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate typical late-August lows of 22–25°C in Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin, driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. The closely matched market odds around 23–24°C reflect model consensus on moderate wind patterns and residual monsoon moisture, which prevent sharper drops below 22°C while capping highs that could elevate minima. Key differentiators include potential for clearer skies enhancing surface heat loss versus increased precipitation or urban heat retention keeping readings near 25°C; official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies on 48-hour model runs will likely refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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