Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Afternoon showers and cloud cover have moderated daytime peaks to around 30–32°C, with the basin's topography trapping moist air and preventing sharper drops overnight. Historical August baselines show average lows of 22°C, but current stable high-pressure influences and lack of cold-air intrusions keep probabilities highest for 24°C. Updated model runs through the day will refine exact thresholds as observations accumulate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
21°C 60%
20°C 59%
18°C 50%
23°C 35%
17°C or below
18%
18°C
50%
19°C
11%
20°C
59%
21°C
60%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
60%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 60%
20°C 59%
18°C 50%
23°C 35%
17°C or below
18%
18°C
50%
19°C
11%
20°C
59%
21°C
60%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
60%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Afternoon showers and cloud cover have moderated daytime peaks to around 30–32°C, with the basin's topography trapping moist air and preventing sharper drops overnight. Historical August baselines show average lows of 22°C, but current stable high-pressure influences and lack of cold-air intrusions keep probabilities highest for 24°C. Updated model runs through the day will refine exact thresholds as observations accumulate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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