Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows near 21–23°C on August 22, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light northerly flow, moderating Bosphorus sea breezes, and clear skies under high pressure. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 20–22°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather supporting limited diurnal cooling and minimal deviation from seasonal norms. These factors position 23°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities around that threshold, while cooler extremes below 20°C remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to verified minimum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
23°C 64%
22°C 43%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
36%
19°C
26%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
43%
23°C
64%
24°C
39%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
38%
23°C 64%
22°C 43%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$5 KL.
36%
19°C
$5 KL.
26%
20°C
$0 KL.
39%
21°C
$0 KL.
39%
22°C
$0 KL.
43%
23°C
$14 KL.
64%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$97 KL.
4%
26°C
$5 KL.
5%
27°C
$5 KL.
5%
28°C or higher
$26 KL.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows near 21–23°C on August 22, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light northerly flow, moderating Bosphorus sea breezes, and clear skies under high pressure. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 20–22°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather supporting limited diurnal cooling and minimal deviation from seasonal norms. These factors position 23°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities around that threshold, while cooler extremes below 20°C remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to verified minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$158Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows near 21–23°C on August 22, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light northerly flow, moderating Bosphorus sea breezes, and clear skies under high pressure. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 20–22°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather supporting limited diurnal cooling and minimal deviation from seasonal norms. These factors position 23°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities around that threshold, while cooler extremes below 20°C remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to verified minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$158Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight lows near 21–23°C on August 22, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light northerly flow, moderating Bosphorus sea breezes, and clear skies under high pressure. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 20–22°C, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather supporting limited diurnal cooling and minimal deviation from seasonal norms. These factors position 23°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities around that threshold, while cooler extremes below 20°C remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to verified minimum readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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