Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 21°C in Istanbul on August 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August minima range 19–23°C, driven by typical radiative cooling rates after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could allow cooler readings in the 17–19°C range or push toward 22°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial volume on bins around 19–23°C amid ongoing monitoring of updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
19°C 32%
21°C 32%
20°C 31%
23°C 31%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
19%
18°C
31%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
32%
22°C
31%
23°C
31%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
21°C 32%
20°C 31%
23°C 31%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
$104 KL.
19%
18°C
$81 KL.
31%
19°C
$0 KL.
32%
20°C
$0 KL.
31%
21°C
$0 KL.
32%
22°C
$16 KL.
31%
23°C
$0 KL.
31%
24°C
$227 KL.
1%
25°C
$435 KL.
1%
26°C
$937 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$288 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 21°C in Istanbul on August 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August minima range 19–23°C, driven by typical radiative cooling rates after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could allow cooler readings in the 17–19°C range or push toward 22°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial volume on bins around 19–23°C amid ongoing monitoring of updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,008Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 21°C in Istanbul on August 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August minima range 19–23°C, driven by typical radiative cooling rates after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could allow cooler readings in the 17–19°C range or push toward 22°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial volume on bins around 19–23°C amid ongoing monitoring of updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,008Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 21°C in Istanbul on August 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August minima range 19–23°C, driven by typical radiative cooling rates after daytime highs of 28–31°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could allow cooler readings in the 17–19°C range or push toward 22°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial volume on bins around 19–23°C amid ongoing monitoring of updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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