Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 4 center on a minimum temperature near 24–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–70%. Official and ensemble model guidance from sources such as GFS and local meteorological services indicates stable high-pressure conditions with limited nocturnal cooling, typical for the region’s subtropical monsoon climate in early September. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 20–28°C reflects modest uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling, cloud timing, and urban heat retention, while the low odds on extremes align with historical September minima rarely falling below 22°C or exceeding 27°C absent major frontal systems. Updated model runs and local station observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 4?
20°C 89%
21°C 89%
22°C 89%
23°C 89%
19°C or below
21%
20°C
89%
21°C
89%
22°C
89%
23°C
89%
24°C
89%
25°C
89%
26°C
88%
27°C
88%
28°C
89%
29°C or higher
2%
20°C 89%
21°C 89%
22°C 89%
23°C 89%
19°C or below
21%
20°C
89%
21°C
89%
22°C
89%
23°C
89%
24°C
89%
25°C
89%
26°C
88%
27°C
88%
28°C
89%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 4 center on a minimum temperature near 24–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–70%. Official and ensemble model guidance from sources such as GFS and local meteorological services indicates stable high-pressure conditions with limited nocturnal cooling, typical for the region’s subtropical monsoon climate in early September. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 20–28°C reflects modest uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling, cloud timing, and urban heat retention, while the low odds on extremes align with historical September minima rarely falling below 22°C or exceeding 27°C absent major frontal systems. Updated model runs and local station observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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