National Weather Service observations and model guidance for Miami on August 7, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 78–79°F under persistent subtropical high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that inhibit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatological normals near 78°F at Miami International Airport and recent daily reports showing overnight lows anchored in the upper 70s amid cloud cover and urban heat retention. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the 78–79°F bin reflects these stable conditions, with minimal model spread on intensification of cooling mechanisms. A sudden shift to clear, calm skies or drier mid-level air could permit a dip toward 76–77°F, though current NWS forecasts assign low probability to such deviations before the midnight observation window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 7?
78-79°F 97%
76-77°F 2%
74-75°F 1.1%
70-71°F <1%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
97%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 97%
76-77°F 2%
74-75°F 1.1%
70-71°F <1%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
97%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations and model guidance for Miami on August 7, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 78–79°F under persistent subtropical high humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that inhibit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatological normals near 78°F at Miami International Airport and recent daily reports showing overnight lows anchored in the upper 70s amid cloud cover and urban heat retention. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the 78–79°F bin reflects these stable conditions, with minimal model spread on intensification of cooling mechanisms. A sudden shift to clear, calm skies or drier mid-level air could permit a dip toward 76–77°F, though current NWS forecasts assign low probability to such deviations before the midnight observation window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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