Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 26 projects an overnight low in the mid-70s°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers and light northerly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 76.5°F for the date. The balanced 50% market-implied odds on the 65°F-or-below and 84°F-or-higher bins reflect residual uncertainty in how steering patterns and any late-day convective cooling might shift the minimum, even as the 72-77°F ranges trade near 20-22%. With resolution only two days away, the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signals on whether anomalous ridging or a transient moisture surge alters the expected temperature range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on September 26?
65°F or below 48%
84°F or higher 47%
66-67°F 38%
68-69°F 38%
65°F or below
48%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84°F or higher
47%
65°F or below 48%
84°F or higher 47%
66-67°F 38%
68-69°F 38%
65°F or below
48%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 26 projects an overnight low in the mid-70s°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers and light northerly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 76.5°F for the date. The balanced 50% market-implied odds on the 65°F-or-below and 84°F-or-higher bins reflect residual uncertainty in how steering patterns and any late-day convective cooling might shift the minimum, even as the 72-77°F ranges trade near 20-22%. With resolution only two days away, the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signals on whether anomalous ridging or a transient moisture surge alters the expected temperature range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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