**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF consensus point to an overnight low near 17–18°C for Milan on September 20, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for 16°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-autumn radiative cooling overnight have kept temperatures from dropping sharply, with hourly observations showing gradual decline toward the minimum just before dawn. Historical September baselines for the city average lows around 16°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to weigh the precise official station reading—likely from Milan Linate or a comparable site—against minor model spread and local urban heat effects, which explains the tight clustering around 16°C versus lower or higher thresholds. No significant weather shifts are expected before resolution, though final confirmation awaits the day's complete observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 20?
10°C or below 90%
11°C 90%
12°C 90%
13°C 89%
$2,687 KL.
$2,687 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
90%
11°C
90%
12°C
90%
13°C
89%
16°C
-
10°C or below 90%
11°C 90%
12°C 90%
13°C 89%
$2,687 KL.
$2,687 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 KL.
90%
11°C
$0 KL.
90%
12°C
$0 KL.
90%
13°C
$0 KL.
89%
16°C
$166 KL.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF consensus point to an overnight low near 17–18°C for Milan on September 20, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for 16°C.**
Stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-autumn radiative cooling overnight have kept temperatures from dropping sharply, with hourly observations showing gradual decline toward the minimum just before dawn. Historical September baselines for the city average lows around 16°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to weigh the precise official station reading—likely from Milan Linate or a comparable site—against minor model spread and local urban heat effects, which explains the tight clustering around 16°C versus lower or higher thresholds. No significant weather shifts are expected before resolution, though final confirmation awaits the day's complete observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,687Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF consensus point to an overnight low near 17–18°C for Milan on September 20, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for 16°C.**
Stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-autumn radiative cooling overnight have kept temperatures from dropping sharply, with hourly observations showing gradual decline toward the minimum just before dawn. Historical September baselines for the city average lows around 16°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to weigh the precise official station reading—likely from Milan Linate or a comparable site—against minor model spread and local urban heat effects, which explains the tight clustering around 16°C versus lower or higher thresholds. No significant weather shifts are expected before resolution, though final confirmation awaits the day's complete observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,687Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF consensus point to an overnight low near 17–18°C for Milan on September 20, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for 16°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-autumn radiative cooling overnight have kept temperatures from dropping sharply, with hourly observations showing gradual decline toward the minimum just before dawn. Historical September baselines for the city average lows around 16°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Traders appear to weigh the precise official station reading—likely from Milan Linate or a comparable site—against minor model spread and local urban heat effects, which explains the tight clustering around 16°C versus lower or higher thresholds. No significant weather shifts are expected before resolution, though final confirmation awaits the day's complete observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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