Current model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF guidance points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 22 around 17–19°C under high pressure and easterly flow, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 17°C and nearby bins, while the even split between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader caution over potential late adjustments in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the overnight low by a few degrees. Historical September minima average near 15°C, so the warmer forecast reduces odds of colder extremes but leaves room for model divergence ahead of final observations. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs plus any revised local station guidance before the 24-hour window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 22?
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 92%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
12°C or below
92%
13°C
18%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
25%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
92%
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 92%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
12°C or below
$0 KL.
92%
13°C
$0 KL.
18%
14°C
$0 KL.
20%
15°C
$0 KL.
39%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$0 KL.
25%
18°C
$0 KL.
39%
19°C
$0 KL.
39%
20°C
$0 KL.
39%
21°C
$0 KL.
18%
22°C or higher
$0 KL.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF guidance points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 22 around 17–19°C under high pressure and easterly flow, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 17°C and nearby bins, while the even split between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader caution over potential late adjustments in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the overnight low by a few degrees. Historical September minima average near 15°C, so the warmer forecast reduces odds of colder extremes but leaves room for model divergence ahead of final observations. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs plus any revised local station guidance before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF guidance points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 22 around 17–19°C under high pressure and easterly flow, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 17°C and nearby bins, while the even split between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader caution over potential late adjustments in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the overnight low by a few degrees. Historical September minima average near 15°C, so the warmer forecast reduces odds of colder extremes but leaves room for model divergence ahead of final observations. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs plus any revised local station guidance before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF guidance points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 22 around 17–19°C under high pressure and easterly flow, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 17°C and nearby bins, while the even split between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader caution over potential late adjustments in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the overnight low by a few degrees. Historical September minima average near 15°C, so the warmer forecast reduces odds of colder extremes but leaves room for model divergence ahead of final observations. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs plus any revised local station guidance before the 24-hour window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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