Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Milan on September 21 shows a near-even split, with market-implied odds at 50% for 10°C or below and 50% for 20°C or higher amid high forecast uncertainty. European and global model ensembles diverge on overnight lows due to variable cloud cover, wind advection from the Mediterranean, and potential clear-sky radiative cooling under high pressure versus warmer air masses. September climatology typically features Milan lows of 14–17°C, but current synoptic patterns and model spread create genuine ambiguity around thresholds. Fresh ensemble updates and observational data from agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services will likely refine probabilities as the period nears resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 21?
10°C or below 100%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
17°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
100%
11°C
9%
12°C
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 100%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
17°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
11°C
$0 KL.
9%
12°C
$0 KL.
2%
13°C
$0 KL.
16%
14°C
$0 KL.
40%
15°C
$0 KL.
40%
16°C
$0 KL.
21%
17°C
$0 KL.
22%
18°C
$0 KL.
21%
19°C
$0 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$15 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Milan on September 21 shows a near-even split, with market-implied odds at 50% for 10°C or below and 50% for 20°C or higher amid high forecast uncertainty. European and global model ensembles diverge on overnight lows due to variable cloud cover, wind advection from the Mediterranean, and potential clear-sky radiative cooling under high pressure versus warmer air masses. September climatology typically features Milan lows of 14–17°C, but current synoptic patterns and model spread create genuine ambiguity around thresholds. Fresh ensemble updates and observational data from agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services will likely refine probabilities as the period nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Milan on September 21 shows a near-even split, with market-implied odds at 50% for 10°C or below and 50% for 20°C or higher amid high forecast uncertainty. European and global model ensembles diverge on overnight lows due to variable cloud cover, wind advection from the Mediterranean, and potential clear-sky radiative cooling under high pressure versus warmer air masses. September climatology typically features Milan lows of 14–17°C, but current synoptic patterns and model spread create genuine ambiguity around thresholds. Fresh ensemble updates and observational data from agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services will likely refine probabilities as the period nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Milan on September 21 shows a near-even split, with market-implied odds at 50% for 10°C or below and 50% for 20°C or higher amid high forecast uncertainty. European and global model ensembles diverge on overnight lows due to variable cloud cover, wind advection from the Mediterranean, and potential clear-sky radiative cooling under high pressure versus warmer air masses. September climatology typically features Milan lows of 14–17°C, but current synoptic patterns and model spread create genuine ambiguity around thresholds. Fresh ensemble updates and observational data from agencies like ECMWF and national meteorological services will likely refine probabilities as the period nears resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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