Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and models like GFS indicate Moscow's September 11 minimum will likely fall between 11–12°C overnight amid westerly winds of 5–7 m/s, patchy rain, and 70–80% cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official outlooks project a daytime peak near 17–19°C before the low, consistent with a warmer-than-average pattern but subject to small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–11°C because minor revisions in timing of clearing skies or frontal passage could easily shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, while historical September 11 lows average 8.8°C yet recent analogs favor milder conditions. Updated hourly observations and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
12°C 56%
11°C 20%
9°C 3%
7°C 1.0%
$744 KL.
$744 KL.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 56%
11°C 20%
9°C 3%
7°C 1.0%
$744 KL.
$744 KL.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and models like GFS indicate Moscow's September 11 minimum will likely fall between 11–12°C overnight amid westerly winds of 5–7 m/s, patchy rain, and 70–80% cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official outlooks project a daytime peak near 17–19°C before the low, consistent with a warmer-than-average pattern but subject to small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–11°C because minor revisions in timing of clearing skies or frontal passage could easily shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, while historical September 11 lows average 8.8°C yet recent analogs favor milder conditions. Updated hourly observations and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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