Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles point to overnight minimum temperatures in New York City on August 4 clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around 66–71°F. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology, with average lows near 69°F, modulated by variables such as cloud cover, wind speed, and dew point that control nocturnal radiative cooling. Clear, calm conditions could push readings toward 66–67°F, while increased humidity or light southerly flow may limit cooling and favor 70–71°F outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against model spread, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 4?
68-69°F 33%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 23%
60-61°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 33%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 23%
60-61°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
59°F or below
$44 KL.
1%
60-61°F
$44 KL.
9%
62-63°F
$37 KL.
9%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
9%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
23%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
33%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
27%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
9%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
6%
76-77°F
$100 KL.
2%
78°F or higher
$44 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles point to overnight minimum temperatures in New York City on August 4 clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around 66–71°F. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology, with average lows near 69°F, modulated by variables such as cloud cover, wind speed, and dew point that control nocturnal radiative cooling. Clear, calm conditions could push readings toward 66–67°F, while increased humidity or light southerly flow may limit cooling and favor 70–71°F outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against model spread, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$267Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles point to overnight minimum temperatures in New York City on August 4 clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around 66–71°F. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology, with average lows near 69°F, modulated by variables such as cloud cover, wind speed, and dew point that control nocturnal radiative cooling. Clear, calm conditions could push readings toward 66–67°F, while increased humidity or light southerly flow may limit cooling and favor 70–71°F outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against model spread, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$267Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles point to overnight minimum temperatures in New York City on August 4 clustering in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around 66–71°F. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology, with average lows near 69°F, modulated by variables such as cloud cover, wind speed, and dew point that control nocturnal radiative cooling. Clear, calm conditions could push readings toward 66–67°F, while increased humidity or light southerly flow may limit cooling and favor 70–71°F outcomes. Traders weigh these factors against model spread, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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