Recent forecasts from multiple sources project Qingdao's September 7 overnight low near 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, placing the market near equilibrium between cooler and warmer bins. Primary drivers include the timing of strengthening northerly flow from the Yellow Sea region, which could enhance advection of cooler continental air and promote greater radiative cooling, versus lingering marine moderation that sustains higher minima. Model consensus on cloud cover and exact wind onset remains limited two days out, creating genuine uncertainty around the 15–25°C thresholds. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 7?
15°C or below 86%
25°C or higher 84%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
15°C or below
86%
16°C
49%
17°C
27%
18°C
38%
19°C
29%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C or higher
84%
15°C or below 86%
25°C or higher 84%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
15°C or below
86%
16°C
49%
17°C
27%
18°C
38%
19°C
29%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources project Qingdao's September 7 overnight low near 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, placing the market near equilibrium between cooler and warmer bins. Primary drivers include the timing of strengthening northerly flow from the Yellow Sea region, which could enhance advection of cooler continental air and promote greater radiative cooling, versus lingering marine moderation that sustains higher minima. Model consensus on cloud cover and exact wind onset remains limited two days out, creating genuine uncertainty around the 15–25°C thresholds. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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