Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 KL.
$22,874 KL.
Apr 27, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 KL.
$22,874 KL.
Apr 27, 2026
10°C or below
$2,153 KL.
No
11°C
$1,858 KL.
No
12°C
$1,433 KL.
No
13°C
$1,870 KL.
No
14°C
$5,542 KL.
Yes
15°C
$987 KL.
No
16°C
$3,091 KL.
No
17°C
$1,145 KL.
No
18°C
$967 KL.
No
19°C
$537 KL.
No
20°C or higher
$3,291 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,874Ngày kết thúc
Apr 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$22,874Ngày kết thúc
Apr 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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