**Persistent warm, humid conditions with northeast winds and limited overnight radiative cooling position 27–28°C as the dominant outcomes for Shanghai’s August 27 minimum.** Multiple forecast models converge on lows of 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered light rain or drizzle, and dew points near 25–26°C that sustain elevated nighttime temperatures. High pressure and the distant influence of Typhoon Shadell maintain steady onshore flow without introducing cooler air masses. Recent model runs show little spread around these values, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima hover near 24–26°C but current humidity and cloud cover elevate them. Traders assign over 95% combined probability to the 27–28°C range, reflecting strong consensus ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
28°C 57%
27°C 39%
29°C 6%
26°C 1.2%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
39%
28°C
57%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 57%
27°C 39%
29°C 6%
26°C 1.2%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
39%
28°C
57%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions with northeast winds and limited overnight radiative cooling position 27–28°C as the dominant outcomes for Shanghai’s August 27 minimum.** Multiple forecast models converge on lows of 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered light rain or drizzle, and dew points near 25–26°C that sustain elevated nighttime temperatures. High pressure and the distant influence of Typhoon Shadell maintain steady onshore flow without introducing cooler air masses. Recent model runs show little spread around these values, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima hover near 24–26°C but current humidity and cloud cover elevate them. Traders assign over 95% combined probability to the 27–28°C range, reflecting strong consensus ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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