Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Forecast highs of 31–33°C and humidity above 70% further compress the diurnal range, consistent with late-August climatology where typical overnight minima sit between 25–28°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome reflects alignment across multiple runs, while lower-probability extremes (below 25°C or 29°C+) would require unexpected clear skies or stronger advection shifts not currently indicated. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
25°C 65%
29°C 65%
27°C 55%
28°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
65%
26°C
9%
27°C
55%
28°C
34%
29°C
65%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
18%
25°C 65%
29°C 65%
27°C 55%
28°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$22 KL.
9%
24°C
$0 KL.
19%
25°C
$0 KL.
65%
26°C
$0 KL.
9%
27°C
$0 KL.
55%
28°C
$0 KL.
34%
29°C
$0 KL.
65%
30°C
$22 KL.
4%
31°C
$22 KL.
2%
32°C
$22 KL.
19%
33°C or higher
$22 KL.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Forecast highs of 31–33°C and humidity above 70% further compress the diurnal range, consistent with late-August climatology where typical overnight minima sit between 25–28°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome reflects alignment across multiple runs, while lower-probability extremes (below 25°C or 29°C+) would require unexpected clear skies or stronger advection shifts not currently indicated. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$109Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Forecast highs of 31–33°C and humidity above 70% further compress the diurnal range, consistent with late-August climatology where typical overnight minima sit between 25–28°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome reflects alignment across multiple runs, while lower-probability extremes (below 25°C or 29°C+) would require unexpected clear skies or stronger advection shifts not currently indicated. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$109Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. Forecast highs of 31–33°C and humidity above 70% further compress the diurnal range, consistent with late-August climatology where typical overnight minima sit between 25–28°C under similar synoptic patterns. Trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome reflects alignment across multiple runs, while lower-probability extremes (below 25°C or 29°C+) would require unexpected clear skies or stronger advection shifts not currently indicated. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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