Close market-implied odds around 27°C, 22°C or below, and 32°C or higher reflect substantial forecast uncertainty for Taipei's minimum temperature on September 3. Ensemble models from agencies such as the Central Weather Administration show spread due to variable steering flows and possible moisture influx from the western Pacific monsoon trough, which can suppress nighttime cooling or enhance it via cloud cover and rainfall. Early September climatology features typical lows near 25–26°C, but recent model runs indicate sensitivity to any approaching tropical disturbance or frontal boundary. Traders weigh these factors against historical analogs and expected updates from official guidance in the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Taipei on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 3?
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 71%
23°C 49%
27°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
86%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
34%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
71%
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 71%
23°C 49%
27°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$5 KL.
86%
23°C
$5 KL.
49%
24°C
$0 KL.
26%
25°C
$0 KL.
26%
26°C
$0 KL.
29%
27°C
$0 KL.
34%
28°C
$0 KL.
26%
29°C
$73 KL.
6%
30°C
$335 KL.
<1%
31°C
$5 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 KL.
71%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close market-implied odds around 27°C, 22°C or below, and 32°C or higher reflect substantial forecast uncertainty for Taipei's minimum temperature on September 3. Ensemble models from agencies such as the Central Weather Administration show spread due to variable steering flows and possible moisture influx from the western Pacific monsoon trough, which can suppress nighttime cooling or enhance it via cloud cover and rainfall. Early September climatology features typical lows near 25–26°C, but recent model runs indicate sensitivity to any approaching tropical disturbance or frontal boundary. Traders weigh these factors against historical analogs and expected updates from official guidance in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$428Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close market-implied odds around 27°C, 22°C or below, and 32°C or higher reflect substantial forecast uncertainty for Taipei's minimum temperature on September 3. Ensemble models from agencies such as the Central Weather Administration show spread due to variable steering flows and possible moisture influx from the western Pacific monsoon trough, which can suppress nighttime cooling or enhance it via cloud cover and rainfall. Early September climatology features typical lows near 25–26°C, but recent model runs indicate sensitivity to any approaching tropical disturbance or frontal boundary. Traders weigh these factors against historical analogs and expected updates from official guidance in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$428Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Close market-implied odds around 27°C, 22°C or below, and 32°C or higher reflect substantial forecast uncertainty for Taipei's minimum temperature on September 3. Ensemble models from agencies such as the Central Weather Administration show spread due to variable steering flows and possible moisture influx from the western Pacific monsoon trough, which can suppress nighttime cooling or enhance it via cloud cover and rainfall. Early September climatology features typical lows near 25–26°C, but recent model runs indicate sensitivity to any approaching tropical disturbance or frontal boundary. Traders weigh these factors against historical analogs and expected updates from official guidance in the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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