Recent official forecasts and observational data from Polish meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C in Warsaw on September 3, driven by moderate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and surface temperatures stabilizing near that level after daytime highs around 23–25°C. Numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus on this threshold, aligning with climatological norms for early September where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C. The market's 97.5% implied probability for 12°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, with limited room for deviation unless unforecasted clearer conditions enhance cooling or station-specific microclimate effects alter the recorded minimum. Final resolution depends on the official daily minimum from authorized monitoring stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
12°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,828 KL.
$2,828 KL.
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,828 KL.
$2,828 KL.
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
$632 KL.
No
10°C
$361 KL.
No
11°C
$178 KL.
No
12°C
$669 KL.
Yes
13°C
$267 KL.
No
14°C
$220 KL.
No
15°C
$292 KL.
No
16°C
$52 KL.
No
17°C
$32 KL.
No
18°C
$62 KL.
No
19°C or higher
$62 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational data from Polish meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C in Warsaw on September 3, driven by moderate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and surface temperatures stabilizing near that level after daytime highs around 23–25°C. Numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus on this threshold, aligning with climatological norms for early September where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C. The market's 97.5% implied probability for 12°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, with limited room for deviation unless unforecasted clearer conditions enhance cooling or station-specific microclimate effects alter the recorded minimum. Final resolution depends on the official daily minimum from authorized monitoring stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,828Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational data from Polish meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C in Warsaw on September 3, driven by moderate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and surface temperatures stabilizing near that level after daytime highs around 23–25°C. Numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus on this threshold, aligning with climatological norms for early September where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C. The market's 97.5% implied probability for 12°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, with limited room for deviation unless unforecasted clearer conditions enhance cooling or station-specific microclimate effects alter the recorded minimum. Final resolution depends on the official daily minimum from authorized monitoring stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,828Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent official forecasts and observational data from Polish meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C in Warsaw on September 3, driven by moderate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and surface temperatures stabilizing near that level after daytime highs around 23–25°C. Numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus on this threshold, aligning with climatological norms for early September where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C. The market's 97.5% implied probability for 12°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus, with limited room for deviation unless unforecasted clearer conditions enhance cooling or station-specific microclimate effects alter the recorded minimum. Final resolution depends on the official daily minimum from authorized monitoring stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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