Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a mostly cloudy Thursday in Wellington with southerly winds shifting northerly, supporting a minimum temperature near 9–11°C amid light showers and moderate mixing that limits overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with stronger winds or clearer breaks potentially allowing dips toward 8°C while persistent cloud and warmer advection keep readings elevated. This uncertainty, combined with typical late-winter variability in the region’s maritime climate, drives the tight market split between cooler single-digit outcomes and milder readings above 10°C. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will further refine the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
15°C or higher 79%
8°C 44%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
6%
7°C
26%
8°C
44%
9°C
27%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
5%
13°C
8%
14°C
5%
15°C or higher
79%
15°C or higher 79%
8°C 44%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
6%
7°C
26%
8°C
44%
9°C
27%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
5%
13°C
8%
14°C
5%
15°C or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a mostly cloudy Thursday in Wellington with southerly winds shifting northerly, supporting a minimum temperature near 9–11°C amid light showers and moderate mixing that limits overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with stronger winds or clearer breaks potentially allowing dips toward 8°C while persistent cloud and warmer advection keep readings elevated. This uncertainty, combined with typical late-winter variability in the region’s maritime climate, drives the tight market split between cooler single-digit outcomes and milder readings above 10°C. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will further refine the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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