**Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a low temperature near 21°C on September 3, 2026, driven by the lingering influence of tropical cyclone "Shadel" remnants.** These systems have steered cooler northerly air and increased cloud cover and scattered showers across central-eastern Hubei, suppressing daytime heating while promoting modest nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources consistently project minimums of 20–23°C amid 3–5 grade northerly winds, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 20–22°C. The near-even split between 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which can shift overnight lows by 2–3°C. Historical early-September baselines average ~24°C lows, so the current synoptic cooling provides the primary downward bias, though clearing skies later on the 3rd could limit further drops. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the tightest spreads.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
17°C or below 88%
19°C 48%
25°C 48%
27°C or higher 43.3%
17°C or below
88%
18°C
9%
19°C
48%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
43%
17°C or below 88%
19°C 48%
25°C 48%
27°C or higher 43.3%
17°C or below
88%
18°C
9%
19°C
48%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a low temperature near 21°C on September 3, 2026, driven by the lingering influence of tropical cyclone "Shadel" remnants.** These systems have steered cooler northerly air and increased cloud cover and scattered showers across central-eastern Hubei, suppressing daytime heating while promoting modest nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources consistently project minimums of 20–23°C amid 3–5 grade northerly winds, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 20–22°C. The near-even split between 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which can shift overnight lows by 2–3°C. Historical early-September baselines average ~24°C lows, so the current synoptic cooling provides the primary downward bias, though clearing skies later on the 3rd could limit further drops. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the tightest spreads.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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