Mitch McConnell’s prolonged absence from Senate floor votes since his June 14 hospitalization drives the 71.5% “No” probability on the market. His office confirmed in late July that he remained unready for in-person duties after missing dozens of votes, followed by an August 6 discharge from rehabilitation to continue intensive physical therapy at home. While the senator has stated he continues engaging staff on legislative matters during the August recess, no timeline for resumption of voting has been provided ahead of the September session. These developments, combined with his prior February 2025 announcement that the current term would be his last, have shaped trader consensus around extended recovery constraints.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?
20% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
20% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mitch McConnell’s prolonged absence from Senate floor votes since his June 14 hospitalization drives the 71.5% “No” probability on the market. His office confirmed in late July that he remained unready for in-person duties after missing dozens of votes, followed by an August 6 discharge from rehabilitation to continue intensive physical therapy at home. While the senator has stated he continues engaging staff on legislative matters during the August recess, no timeline for resumption of voting has been provided ahead of the September session. These developments, combined with his prior February 2025 announcement that the current term would be his last, have shaped trader consensus around extended recovery constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$194Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mitch McConnell’s prolonged absence from Senate floor votes since his June 14 hospitalization drives the 71.5% “No” probability on the market. His office confirmed in late July that he remained unready for in-person duties after missing dozens of votes, followed by an August 6 discharge from rehabilitation to continue intensive physical therapy at home. While the senator has stated he continues engaging staff on legislative matters during the August recess, no timeline for resumption of voting has been provided ahead of the September session. These developments, combined with his prior February 2025 announcement that the current term would be his last, have shaped trader consensus around extended recovery constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$194Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mitch McConnell’s prolonged absence from Senate floor votes since his June 14 hospitalization drives the 71.5% “No” probability on the market. His office confirmed in late July that he remained unready for in-person duties after missing dozens of votes, followed by an August 6 discharge from rehabilitation to continue intensive physical therapy at home. While the senator has stated he continues engaging staff on legislative matters during the August recess, no timeline for resumption of voting has been provided ahead of the September session. These developments, combined with his prior February 2025 announcement that the current term would be his last, have shaped trader consensus around extended recovery constraints.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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