Democratic nominee Deb Haaland maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, her high name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary, and polling averages showing a 6- to 7-point lead over Republican Gregg Hull. Recent surveys, including a late-August Research & Polling Inc. result of 49% to 43%, reflect advantages in urban centers like Albuquerque and among key voting blocs. New Mexico's partisan registration patterns and Democratic performance in prior cycles, including the open-seat dynamic after term limits ended Michelle Lujan Grisham's tenure, underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic outcome on Polymarket. Late developments that could narrow the gap include polling volatility in the final weeks, shifts in turnout among independents, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Mexico Governor Election Winner
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
$34,031 KL.
$34,031 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
5%
$34,031 KL.
$34,031 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$18,693 KL.
93%
Republican
$15,338 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Deb Haaland maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, her high name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary, and polling averages showing a 6- to 7-point lead over Republican Gregg Hull. Recent surveys, including a late-August Research & Polling Inc. result of 49% to 43%, reflect advantages in urban centers like Albuquerque and among key voting blocs. New Mexico's partisan registration patterns and Democratic performance in prior cycles, including the open-seat dynamic after term limits ended Michelle Lujan Grisham's tenure, underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic outcome on Polymarket. Late developments that could narrow the gap include polling volatility in the final weeks, shifts in turnout among independents, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$34,031Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Deb Haaland maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, her high name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary, and polling averages showing a 6- to 7-point lead over Republican Gregg Hull. Recent surveys, including a late-August Research & Polling Inc. result of 49% to 43%, reflect advantages in urban centers like Albuquerque and among key voting blocs. New Mexico's partisan registration patterns and Democratic performance in prior cycles, including the open-seat dynamic after term limits ended Michelle Lujan Grisham's tenure, underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic outcome on Polymarket. Late developments that could narrow the gap include polling volatility in the final weeks, shifts in turnout among independents, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$34,031Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Deb Haaland maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, her high name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary, and polling averages showing a 6- to 7-point lead over Republican Gregg Hull. Recent surveys, including a late-August Research & Polling Inc. result of 49% to 43%, reflect advantages in urban centers like Albuquerque and among key voting blocs. New Mexico's partisan registration patterns and Democratic performance in prior cycles, including the open-seat dynamic after term limits ended Michelle Lujan Grisham's tenure, underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic outcome on Polymarket. Late developments that could narrow the gap include polling volatility in the final weeks, shifts in turnout among independents, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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