Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján secured the nomination with over 83 percent in the June 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Republicans advanced only a write-in candidate in a race rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. New Mexico's consistent Democratic performance in recent Senate contests, combined with Luján's established name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 96.4 percent. The general election on November 3 offers little room for shifts absent major developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment that could elevate the Republican nominee's profile in this low-competition environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Mexico Senate Election Winner
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
$24,244 KL.
$24,244 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
3%
$24,244 KL.
$24,244 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$15,142 KL.
96%
Republican
$9,102 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján secured the nomination with over 83 percent in the June 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Republicans advanced only a write-in candidate in a race rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. New Mexico's consistent Democratic performance in recent Senate contests, combined with Luján's established name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 96.4 percent. The general election on November 3 offers little room for shifts absent major developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment that could elevate the Republican nominee's profile in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján secured the nomination with over 83 percent in the June 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Republicans advanced only a write-in candidate in a race rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. New Mexico's consistent Democratic performance in recent Senate contests, combined with Luján's established name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 96.4 percent. The general election on November 3 offers little room for shifts absent major developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment that could elevate the Republican nominee's profile in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$24,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján secured the nomination with over 83 percent in the June 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Republicans advanced only a write-in candidate in a race rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. New Mexico's consistent Democratic performance in recent Senate contests, combined with Luján's established name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democrat at 96.4 percent. The general election on November 3 offers little room for shifts absent major developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment that could elevate the Republican nominee's profile in this low-competition environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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