Oklahoma's solidly Republican political landscape, reflected in consistent partisan voting patterns and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP winner in the November 2026 Senate contest. The seat became open after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration as Homeland Security Secretary, leading to Alan Armstrong's interim appointment under rules barring him from seeking the full term. Multiple Republicans are competing in the June 16 primary, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility or fundraising. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows frontrunners consolidating support, reinforcing trader consensus on the outcome. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or major Republican primary turmoil not evident in current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOklahoma Senate Election Winner
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
$14,591 KL.
$14,591 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
7%
$14,591 KL.
$14,591 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,923 KL.
93%
Democrat
$5,669 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's solidly Republican political landscape, reflected in consistent partisan voting patterns and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP winner in the November 2026 Senate contest. The seat became open after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration as Homeland Security Secretary, leading to Alan Armstrong's interim appointment under rules barring him from seeking the full term. Multiple Republicans are competing in the June 16 primary, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility or fundraising. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows frontrunners consolidating support, reinforcing trader consensus on the outcome. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or major Republican primary turmoil not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,591Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's solidly Republican political landscape, reflected in consistent partisan voting patterns and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP winner in the November 2026 Senate contest. The seat became open after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration as Homeland Security Secretary, leading to Alan Armstrong's interim appointment under rules barring him from seeking the full term. Multiple Republicans are competing in the June 16 primary, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility or fundraising. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows frontrunners consolidating support, reinforcing trader consensus on the outcome. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or major Republican primary turmoil not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$14,591Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's solidly Republican political landscape, reflected in consistent partisan voting patterns and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP winner in the November 2026 Senate contest. The seat became open after Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration as Homeland Security Secretary, leading to Alan Armstrong's interim appointment under rules barring him from seeking the full term. Multiple Republicans are competing in the June 16 primary, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility or fundraising. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows frontrunners consolidating support, reinforcing trader consensus on the outcome. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or major Republican primary turmoil not evident in current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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