On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 launch of the Mythos-class Claude Fable 5 (public, safeguarded) and restricted Mythos 5 reset the frontier release clock after the earlier limited Mythos Preview. Traders are pricing an early-September debut because Anthropic has maintained a roughly two-to-three-month cadence between major capability jumps while facing pressure from peer labs advancing their own large language models. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around September 1–4 for the next qualifying Mythos-class release made available to the public, with probabilities above 80 percent by mid-month reflecting expectations that safety reviews and internal benchmarks will conclude soon. Key upcoming catalysts include any new developer conferences, benchmark disclosures, or regulatory updates on AI export controls that could accelerate or delay rollout.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 launch of the Mythos-class Claude Fable 5 (public, safeguarded) and restricted Mythos 5 reset the frontier release clock after the earlier limited Mythos Preview. Traders are pricing an early-September debut because Anthropic has maintained a roughly two-to-three-month cadence between major capability jumps while facing pressure from peer labs advancing their own large language models. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around September 1–4 for the next qualifying Mythos-class release made available to the public, with probabilities above 80 percent by mid-month reflecting expectations that safety reviews and internal benchmarks will conclude soon. Key upcoming catalysts include any new developer conferences, benchmark disclosures, or regulatory updates on AI export controls that could accelerate or delay rollout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Aug 27 2026
Anthropic opens 10,000 free and discounted Claude seats to scientists with government-mediated life sciences access
September 30 rises to 93%1%
On August 27, 2026, Anthropic announced a program granting free and discounted access to Claude for scientists worldwide, with life sciences research access to Mythos-class models now mediated by the U.S. government, reflecting ongoing regulatory oversight.
Aug 26 2026
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 gains widespread adoption in developer and production environments
September 15 surges to 77%20%
By late August 2026, Claude Fable 5 was broadly available across multiple channels including GitHub Copilot and API subscriptions, making Mythos-class performance accessible to a wide developer base, which supported rising market prices for public release outcomes.
Aug 24 2026
Anthropic expands Mythos-class model access to hundreds of organizations globally
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
Anthropic announced expanded access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Mythos 5, to hundreds of organizations across 15 countries, signaling broader adoption and reinforcing market confidence in the model's public availability.
Aug 24 2026
Market speculation and reporting intensify on broader Mythos-class model public release
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
In late August 2026, market prices surged as speculation and credible reporting increased about Anthropic's broader public release plans for Mythos-class models, reflecting growing confidence that the models would be accessible beyond limited partners.
Aug 21 2026
Anthropic integrates Claude Mythos 5 into Claude Security for vulnerability scanning
September 30 jumps to 93%5%
On August 21, 2026, Anthropic launched Claude Security scans powered by Mythos 5 in public beta for enterprise customers, enabling vulnerability detection and patch suggestions without direct model access, expanding practical use of Mythos-class capabilities.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after regulatory clearance
September 30 rises to 75%3%
Following the lifting of the Commerce Department's suspension, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, ensuring broad public access to the Mythos-class model and supporting sustained market confidence.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after US export restrictions lifted
After the US Commerce Department lifted restrictions on June 30, Anthropic restored global commercial access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, confirming the model's public availability and supporting market confidence in the Mythos-class model's accessibility.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 after lifting of government restrictions
September 30 jumps to 75%8%
Following the lifting of the US Commerce order on June 30, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026. This reinstatement of public access to a Mythos-class model reinforced market confidence in its availability to commercial customers.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global access to Claude Fable 5 following lifting of export controls
October 31 surges to 96%20%
After the U.S. Department of Commerce rescinded emergency export controls, Anthropic restored global access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026, making its most powerful AI model available again to enterprises and developers worldwide.
Jun 30 2026
U.S. Commerce Department lifts suspension, allowing Mythos-class model global commercial availability to resume
September 30 jumps to 72%6%
The Commerce Department lifted the June suspension on June 30, enabling Anthropic to restore global commercial access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Fable 5. This regulatory relief reinforced market optimism about continued public availability.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government grants Anthropic permission to release Mythos 5 to select companies and agencies
September 30 jumps to 76%12%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government allowed Anthropic to provide Mythos 5 access to over 100 trusted U.S. companies and federal agencies, signaling a softening of restrictions and progress in negotiations, positively impacting market sentiment.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government partially lifts export controls, clears Mythos 5 for limited release to vetted organizations
September 4 surges to 76%26%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government partially lifted the export control block, allowing Anthropic to redeploy Claude Mythos 5 to over 100 vetted U.S. institutions, including major companies and government agencies, while Fable 5 remained under review for broader public access.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 model
Following a US export-control directive that temporarily disabled Mythos 5 and Fable 5 on June 12, the US government partially lifted the block on June 26, allowing over 100 vetted US institutions to access Mythos 5. This regulatory development reassured the market about continued limited access to Mythos-class models.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 for vetted institutions
September 30 rises to 67%1%
On June 26, 2026, the US government partially lifted an export-control block imposed earlier in June, allowing Anthropic to provide its most powerful cybersecurity model, Claude Mythos 5, to over 100 vetted US institutions. This regulatory development maintained limited access but restricted general public availability, impacting market perceptions.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government orders Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 over export control directive
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government issued a directive citing national security concerns and a narrow potential jailbreak, forcing Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users, including foreign nationals. This abrupt suspension caused a sharp market sell-off and pushed expectations for a full public release further out.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government issues export control directive forcing Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government ordered Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 due to national security concerns over a potential jailbreak. Anthropic complied by disabling access for all customers, causing a sharp market sell-off and pushing back expectations for a full public release of the unrestricted Mythos model.
Jun 11 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 as state-of-the-art Mythos-class model for public use
Anthropic officially launched Claude Fable 5 as a Mythos-class model made safe and available to the general public, highlighting its superior capabilities and positioning it as the most powerful model Anthropic has made publicly accessible, reinforcing the bifurcated release strategy.
Jun 10 2026
Claude Fable 5 confirmed as publicly accessible Mythos-class model
September 30 jumps to 61%5%
Independent reports and testing confirmed that Claude Fable 5 is publicly accessible via API and enterprise plans, representing the first Mythos-class model available to the general public, albeit with safeguards that route sensitive queries to a less capable model. This confirmation supported the market's recognition of a public Mythos-class release.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 launch of the Mythos-class Claude Fable 5 (public, safeguarded) and restricted Mythos 5 reset the frontier release clock after the earlier limited Mythos Preview. Traders are pricing an early-September debut because Anthropic has maintained a roughly two-to-three-month cadence between major capability jumps while facing pressure from peer labs advancing their own large language models. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around September 1–4 for the next qualifying Mythos-class release made available to the public, with probabilities above 80 percent by mid-month reflecting expectations that safety reviews and internal benchmarks will conclude soon. Key upcoming catalysts include any new developer conferences, benchmark disclosures, or regulatory updates on AI export controls that could accelerate or delay rollout.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 launch of the Mythos-class Claude Fable 5 (public, safeguarded) and restricted Mythos 5 reset the frontier release clock after the earlier limited Mythos Preview. Traders are pricing an early-September debut because Anthropic has maintained a roughly two-to-three-month cadence between major capability jumps while facing pressure from peer labs advancing their own large language models. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around September 1–4 for the next qualifying Mythos-class release made available to the public, with probabilities above 80 percent by mid-month reflecting expectations that safety reviews and internal benchmarks will conclude soon. Key upcoming catalysts include any new developer conferences, benchmark disclosures, or regulatory updates on AI export controls that could accelerate or delay rollout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Aug 27 2026
Anthropic opens 10,000 free and discounted Claude seats to scientists with government-mediated life sciences access
September 30 rises to 93%1%
On August 27, 2026, Anthropic announced a program granting free and discounted access to Claude for scientists worldwide, with life sciences research access to Mythos-class models now mediated by the U.S. government, reflecting ongoing regulatory oversight.
Aug 26 2026
Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 gains widespread adoption in developer and production environments
September 15 surges to 77%20%
By late August 2026, Claude Fable 5 was broadly available across multiple channels including GitHub Copilot and API subscriptions, making Mythos-class performance accessible to a wide developer base, which supported rising market prices for public release outcomes.
Aug 24 2026
Anthropic expands Mythos-class model access to hundreds of organizations globally
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
Anthropic announced expanded access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Mythos 5, to hundreds of organizations across 15 countries, signaling broader adoption and reinforcing market confidence in the model's public availability.
Aug 24 2026
Market speculation and reporting intensify on broader Mythos-class model public release
October 31 jumps to 86%10%
In late August 2026, market prices surged as speculation and credible reporting increased about Anthropic's broader public release plans for Mythos-class models, reflecting growing confidence that the models would be accessible beyond limited partners.
Aug 21 2026
Anthropic integrates Claude Mythos 5 into Claude Security for vulnerability scanning
September 30 jumps to 93%5%
On August 21, 2026, Anthropic launched Claude Security scans powered by Mythos 5 in public beta for enterprise customers, enabling vulnerability detection and patch suggestions without direct model access, expanding practical use of Mythos-class capabilities.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after regulatory clearance
September 30 rises to 75%3%
Following the lifting of the Commerce Department's suspension, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, ensuring broad public access to the Mythos-class model and supporting sustained market confidence.
Jul 1 2026
Claude Fable 5 returns to global commercial availability after US export restrictions lifted
After the US Commerce Department lifted restrictions on June 30, Anthropic restored global commercial access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, confirming the model's public availability and supporting market confidence in the Mythos-class model's accessibility.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 after lifting of government restrictions
September 30 jumps to 75%8%
Following the lifting of the US Commerce order on June 30, Anthropic resumed global commercial availability of Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026. This reinstatement of public access to a Mythos-class model reinforced market confidence in its availability to commercial customers.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic restores global access to Claude Fable 5 following lifting of export controls
October 31 surges to 96%20%
After the U.S. Department of Commerce rescinded emergency export controls, Anthropic restored global access to Claude Fable 5 on July 1, 2026, making its most powerful AI model available again to enterprises and developers worldwide.
Jun 30 2026
U.S. Commerce Department lifts suspension, allowing Mythos-class model global commercial availability to resume
September 30 jumps to 72%6%
The Commerce Department lifted the June suspension on June 30, enabling Anthropic to restore global commercial access to Mythos-class models, including Claude Fable 5. This regulatory relief reinforced market optimism about continued public availability.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government grants Anthropic permission to release Mythos 5 to select companies and agencies
September 30 jumps to 76%12%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government allowed Anthropic to provide Mythos 5 access to over 100 trusted U.S. companies and federal agencies, signaling a softening of restrictions and progress in negotiations, positively impacting market sentiment.
Jun 26 2026
U.S. government partially lifts export controls, clears Mythos 5 for limited release to vetted organizations
September 4 surges to 76%26%
On June 26, 2026, the U.S. government partially lifted the export control block, allowing Anthropic to redeploy Claude Mythos 5 to over 100 vetted U.S. institutions, including major companies and government agencies, while Fable 5 remained under review for broader public access.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 model
Following a US export-control directive that temporarily disabled Mythos 5 and Fable 5 on June 12, the US government partially lifted the block on June 26, allowing over 100 vetted US institutions to access Mythos 5. This regulatory development reassured the market about continued limited access to Mythos-class models.
Jun 26 2026
US government partially lifts export-control block on Anthropic's Mythos 5 for vetted institutions
September 30 rises to 67%1%
On June 26, 2026, the US government partially lifted an export-control block imposed earlier in June, allowing Anthropic to provide its most powerful cybersecurity model, Claude Mythos 5, to over 100 vetted US institutions. This regulatory development maintained limited access but restricted general public availability, impacting market perceptions.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government orders Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 over export control directive
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government issued a directive citing national security concerns and a narrow potential jailbreak, forcing Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users, including foreign nationals. This abrupt suspension caused a sharp market sell-off and pushed expectations for a full public release further out.
Jun 12 2026
U.S. government issues export control directive forcing Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
September 30 drops to 56%12%
On June 12, the U.S. government ordered Anthropic to suspend access to both Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 due to national security concerns over a potential jailbreak. Anthropic complied by disabling access for all customers, causing a sharp market sell-off and pushing back expectations for a full public release of the unrestricted Mythos model.
Jun 11 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 as state-of-the-art Mythos-class model for public use
Anthropic officially launched Claude Fable 5 as a Mythos-class model made safe and available to the general public, highlighting its superior capabilities and positioning it as the most powerful model Anthropic has made publicly accessible, reinforcing the bifurcated release strategy.
Jun 10 2026
Claude Fable 5 confirmed as publicly accessible Mythos-class model
September 30 jumps to 61%5%
Independent reports and testing confirmed that Claude Fable 5 is publicly accessible via API and enterprise plans, representing the first Mythos-class model available to the general public, albeit with safeguards that route sensitive queries to a less capable model. This confirmation supported the market's recognition of a public Mythos-class release.
"Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 11 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "October 31" ở mức 96%, tiếp theo là "September 30" ở mức 95%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 96¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 96% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.
Tính đến hôm nay, "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" đã tạo $986.8K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jun 10, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.
Để giao dịch trên "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?," duyệt 11 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.
Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" là "October 31" ở mức 96%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 96% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "September 30" ở mức 95%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.
Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.
Có. Bạn không cần giao dịch để cập nhật thông tin. Trang này đóng vai trò theo dõi trực tiếp cho "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?." Xác suất kết quả cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi có giao dịch mới. Bạn có thể đánh dấu trang này và kiểm tra phần bình luận để xem trader khác đang nói gì. Bạn cũng có thể sử dụng bộ lọc khoảng thời gian trên biểu đồ để xem tỷ lệ đã thay đổi thế nào. Đây là cửa sổ miễn phí, thời gian thực vào điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.
Tỷ lệ Polymarket được đặt bởi trader thực đặt tiền thực đằng sau niềm tin, có xu hướng đưa ra dự đoán chính xác. Với $986.8K được giao dịch trên "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?," giá này tổng hợp kiến thức và niềm tin tập thể của hàng nghìn người tham gia — thường vượt trội hơn thăm dò, dự báo chuyên gia và khảo sát truyền thống. Thị trường dự đoán như Polymarket có thành tích chính xác mạnh, đặc biệt khi sự kiện tiến gần ngày giải quyết. Ví dụ, Polymarket có điểm chính xác một tháng là 94%. Để biết thống kê mới nhất về độ chính xác dự đoán của Polymarket, truy cập trang độ chính xác trên Polymarket.
Để đặt lệnh đầu tiên trên "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?," đăng ký tài khoản Polymarket miễn phí và nạp tiền bằng crypto, thẻ tín dụng hoặc ghi nợ, hoặc chuyển khoản ngân hàng. Khi tài khoản đã được nạp, quay lại trang này, chọn kết quả bạn muốn giao dịch, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mới với thị trường dự đoán, nhấn liên kết "Cách hoạt động" ở đầu bất kỳ trang Polymarket nào để xem hướng dẫn từng bước nhanh về cách giao dịch.
Trên Polymarket, giá của mỗi kết quả đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Giá 96¢ cho "October 31" trong thị trường "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" nghĩa là trader tập thể tin rằng có khoảng 96% khả năng "October 31" sẽ là kết quả đúng. Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" ở 96¢ và kết quả đúng, bạn nhận $1.00 mỗi cổ phần — lợi nhuận 4¢ mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, cổ phần đó giá trị $0.
Thị trường "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" dự kiến giải quyết vào hoặc khoảng Sep 30, 2026. Điều này có nghĩa giao dịch vẫn mở và tỷ lệ tiếp tục thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện cho đến ngày đó. Thời gian giải quyết chính xác phụ thuộc vào khi kết quả chính thức có sẵn, như được nêu trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này.
Thị trường "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" có cộng đồng sôi động với 284 bình luận nơi trader chia sẻ phân tích, tranh luận kết quả và thảo luận diễn biến mới nhất. Cuộn xuống phần bình luận bên dưới để đọc ý kiến từ người tham gia khác. Bạn cũng có thể lọc theo "Người nắm giữ hàng đầu" để xem trader lớn nhất đang nắm giữ vị thế ở đâu, hoặc kiểm tra tab "Hoạt động" cho dữ liệu giao dịch theo thời gian thực.
Polymarket là thị trường dự đoán lớn nhất thế giới, nơi bạn có thể cập nhật thông tin và kiếm lợi nhuận từ kiến thức về sự kiện thực tế. Trader mua và bán cổ phần trên kết quả cho các chủ đề từ chính trị và bầu cử đến crypto, tài chính, thể thao, công nghệ và văn hoá, bao gồm các thị trường như "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?." Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực được hỗ trợ bởi niềm tin tài chính, thường cung cấp tín hiệu nhanh và chính xác hơn thăm dò, bình luận viên hoặc khảo sát truyền thống.
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