Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in the NY-25 race due to the Rochester-area district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in presidential voting margins and expert ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. These structural advantages, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in the six weeks before the November 3 general election, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national wave favoring Republicans, a significant scandal or health event affecting Morelle, or unusually high GOP turnout that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan math.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$33,113 KL.
$33,113 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 KL.
$33,113 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 KL.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in the NY-25 race due to the Rochester-area district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in presidential voting margins and expert ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. These structural advantages, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in the six weeks before the November 3 general election, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national wave favoring Republicans, a significant scandal or health event affecting Morelle, or unusually high GOP turnout that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,113Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in the NY-25 race due to the Rochester-area district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in presidential voting margins and expert ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. These structural advantages, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in the six weeks before the November 3 general election, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national wave favoring Republicans, a significant scandal or health event affecting Morelle, or unusually high GOP turnout that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,113Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in the NY-25 race due to the Rochester-area district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in presidential voting margins and expert ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator. These structural advantages, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in the six weeks before the November 3 general election, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national wave favoring Republicans, a significant scandal or health event affecting Morelle, or unusually high GOP turnout that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan math.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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