With West Bengal's legislative assembly elections just days away on April 23 and 29, trader consensus prices AITC at 54% implied probability over BJP's 45%, mirroring recent opinion polls like C-Voter and IANS-MATRIZE that project TMC seat tallies of 140-181 against BJP's 109-150 amid 42-46% vote shares for the incumbent. AITC holds a narrow edge from Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's enduring popularity, especially among women voters, and welfare schemes, while BJP surges via aggressive targeting of thin-margin seats from 2021 and critiques of unemployment and governance lapses. The race stays tight due to divergent poll projections and BJP's urban gains; final rallies, turnout in battlegrounds, or last-minute controversies could decisively shift the balance toward a majority in the 294-seat house.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal
AITC 54.4%
BJP 44.7%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,901,090 KL.
$1,901,090 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
AITC
54%
BJP
45%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
INC
<1%
BGPM
<1%
AITC 54.4%
BJP 44.7%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,901,090 KL.
$1,901,090 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
AITC
$102,819 KL.
54%
BJP
$158,457 KL.
45%
CPI
$793,310 KL.
<1%
CPI(M)
$30,875 KL.
<1%
INC
$22,707 KL.
<1%
BGPM
$792,922 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With West Bengal's legislative assembly elections just days away on April 23 and 29, trader consensus prices AITC at 54% implied probability over BJP's 45%, mirroring recent opinion polls like C-Voter and IANS-MATRIZE that project TMC seat tallies of 140-181 against BJP's 109-150 amid 42-46% vote shares for the incumbent. AITC holds a narrow edge from Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's enduring popularity, especially among women voters, and welfare schemes, while BJP surges via aggressive targeting of thin-margin seats from 2021 and critiques of unemployment and governance lapses. The race stays tight due to divergent poll projections and BJP's urban gains; final rallies, turnout in battlegrounds, or last-minute controversies could decisively shift the balance toward a majority in the 294-seat house.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,901,090Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With West Bengal's legislative assembly elections just days away on April 23 and 29, trader consensus prices AITC at 54% implied probability over BJP's 45%, mirroring recent opinion polls like C-Voter and IANS-MATRIZE that project TMC seat tallies of 140-181 against BJP's 109-150 amid 42-46% vote shares for the incumbent. AITC holds a narrow edge from Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's enduring popularity, especially among women voters, and welfare schemes, while BJP surges via aggressive targeting of thin-margin seats from 2021 and critiques of unemployment and governance lapses. The race stays tight due to divergent poll projections and BJP's urban gains; final rallies, turnout in battlegrounds, or last-minute controversies could decisively shift the balance toward a majority in the 294-seat house.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Khối lượng
$1,901,090Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With West Bengal's legislative assembly elections just days away on April 23 and 29, trader consensus prices AITC at 54% implied probability over BJP's 45%, mirroring recent opinion polls like C-Voter and IANS-MATRIZE that project TMC seat tallies of 140-181 against BJP's 109-150 amid 42-46% vote shares for the incumbent. AITC holds a narrow edge from Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's enduring popularity, especially among women voters, and welfare schemes, while BJP surges via aggressive targeting of thin-margin seats from 2021 and critiques of unemployment and governance lapses. The race stays tight due to divergent poll projections and BJP's urban gains; final rallies, turnout in battlegrounds, or last-minute controversies could decisively shift the balance toward a majority in the 294-seat house.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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