President Trump's February 2026 calls for Republicans to "nationalize" elections in select states, amid unsubstantiated fraud claims ahead of the 2026 midterms, drew swift bipartisan opposition, including from Senate Majority Leader John Thune rejecting federalization. A March 31 executive order mandating citizenship verification and federal voter list standards has sparked lawsuits from Democrats and voting rights groups, with courts blocking similar prior efforts on mail voting and state funding threats. ProPublica reported replacement of election officials with Trump allies, yet constitutional assignment of elections to states, combined with judicial hurdles and lack of congressional support, underpins trader consensus implying just 21.5% odds of full federal takeover by resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Trump nationalize elections?
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$14,721 KL.
$14,721 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$14,721 KL.
$14,721 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
President Trump's February 2026 calls for Republicans to "nationalize" elections in select states, amid unsubstantiated fraud claims ahead of the 2026 midterms, drew swift bipartisan opposition, including from Senate Majority Leader John Thune rejecting federalization. A March 31 executive order mandating citizenship verification and federal voter list standards has sparked lawsuits from Democrats and voting rights groups, with courts blocking similar prior efforts on mail voting and state funding threats. ProPublica reported replacement of election officials with Trump allies, yet constitutional assignment of elections to states, combined with judicial hurdles and lack of congressional support, underpins trader consensus implying just 21.5% odds of full federal takeover by resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,721Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
President Trump's February 2026 calls for Republicans to "nationalize" elections in select states, amid unsubstantiated fraud claims ahead of the 2026 midterms, drew swift bipartisan opposition, including from Senate Majority Leader John Thune rejecting federalization. A March 31 executive order mandating citizenship verification and federal voter list standards has sparked lawsuits from Democrats and voting rights groups, with courts blocking similar prior efforts on mail voting and state funding threats. ProPublica reported replacement of election officials with Trump allies, yet constitutional assignment of elections to states, combined with judicial hurdles and lack of congressional support, underpins trader consensus implying just 21.5% odds of full federal takeover by resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$14,721Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's February 2026 calls for Republicans to "nationalize" elections in select states, amid unsubstantiated fraud claims ahead of the 2026 midterms, drew swift bipartisan opposition, including from Senate Majority Leader John Thune rejecting federalization. A March 31 executive order mandating citizenship verification and federal voter list standards has sparked lawsuits from Democrats and voting rights groups, with courts blocking similar prior efforts on mail voting and state funding threats. ProPublica reported replacement of election officials with Trump allies, yet constitutional assignment of elections to states, combined with judicial hurdles and lack of congressional support, underpins trader consensus implying just 21.5% odds of full federal takeover by resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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