Trump's status as the sitting president with a full term extending through 2028 underpins the 96.5% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures have signaled any intent to step down, aligning with historical patterns where voluntary presidential exits remain rare absent acute crises. Trader consensus reflects this stability, as midterm dynamics, cabinet continuity, and policy implementation show no disruptions pointing to early departure. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen legal resolutions, or intense congressional actions, though none currently register as probable within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
4% khả năng
$538,785 KL.
$538,785 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
4% khả năng
$538,785 KL.
$538,785 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's status as the sitting president with a full term extending through 2028 underpins the 96.5% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures have signaled any intent to step down, aligning with historical patterns where voluntary presidential exits remain rare absent acute crises. Trader consensus reflects this stability, as midterm dynamics, cabinet continuity, and policy implementation show no disruptions pointing to early departure. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen legal resolutions, or intense congressional actions, though none currently register as probable within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$538,785Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's status as the sitting president with a full term extending through 2028 underpins the 96.5% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures have signaled any intent to step down, aligning with historical patterns where voluntary presidential exits remain rare absent acute crises. Trader consensus reflects this stability, as midterm dynamics, cabinet continuity, and policy implementation show no disruptions pointing to early departure. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen legal resolutions, or intense congressional actions, though none currently register as probable within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$538,785Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...Trump's status as the sitting president with a full term extending through 2028 underpins the 96.5% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No public statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures have signaled any intent to step down, aligning with historical patterns where voluntary presidential exits remain rare absent acute crises. Trader consensus reflects this stability, as midterm dynamics, cabinet continuity, and policy implementation show no disruptions pointing to early departure. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen legal resolutions, or intense congressional actions, though none currently register as probable within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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