Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% on President Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting dismissal of partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of post-midterm frustration leading to a voluntary exit amid potential investigations if Democrats gain congressional majorities in November 2026. No official statements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged to challenge this view, despite unsubstantiated viral rumors of health issues in early April—promptly denied by the White House—and ongoing Iran conflict strains since late February airstrikes, including U.S. casualties and threats of further escalation. Trump's pattern of confronting opposition without yielding, alongside stable Republican Senate control, underpins the high implied probability, though midterm outcomes or late-breaking scandals could shift dynamics.