Trump's continued service as president through mid-2026, with no public signals of withdrawal and sustained support within his party and administration, underpins the 95.7% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Historical patterns show few U.S. presidents step down voluntarily absent acute health crises or overwhelming political pressure, and current indicators point to stable leadership priorities focused on policy implementation and electoral positioning. Late-breaking developments such as serious medical events, unforeseen legal rulings prompting removal proceedings, or major shifts in congressional dynamics could still alter timelines, though these remain low-probability catalysts in the near term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$20,281 KL.
$20,281 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$20,281 KL.
$20,281 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's continued service as president through mid-2026, with no public signals of withdrawal and sustained support within his party and administration, underpins the 95.7% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Historical patterns show few U.S. presidents step down voluntarily absent acute health crises or overwhelming political pressure, and current indicators point to stable leadership priorities focused on policy implementation and electoral positioning. Late-breaking developments such as serious medical events, unforeseen legal rulings prompting removal proceedings, or major shifts in congressional dynamics could still alter timelines, though these remain low-probability catalysts in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,281Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's continued service as president through mid-2026, with no public signals of withdrawal and sustained support within his party and administration, underpins the 95.7% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Historical patterns show few U.S. presidents step down voluntarily absent acute health crises or overwhelming political pressure, and current indicators point to stable leadership priorities focused on policy implementation and electoral positioning. Late-breaking developments such as serious medical events, unforeseen legal rulings prompting removal proceedings, or major shifts in congressional dynamics could still alter timelines, though these remain low-probability catalysts in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$20,281Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's continued service as president through mid-2026, with no public signals of withdrawal and sustained support within his party and administration, underpins the 95.7% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Historical patterns show few U.S. presidents step down voluntarily absent acute health crises or overwhelming political pressure, and current indicators point to stable leadership priorities focused on policy implementation and electoral positioning. Late-breaking developments such as serious medical events, unforeseen legal rulings prompting removal proceedings, or major shifts in congressional dynamics could still alter timelines, though these remain low-probability catalysts in the near term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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