Trump's second term, underway since early 2025, shows no institutional, legal, or personal pressures that historically precede presidential resignation. Traders assign a 96% probability to completion of the full term through 2026, reflecting the rarity of voluntary exits absent acute crises such as impeachment conviction or debilitating health events. Recent developments, including legislative priorities and public appearances, reinforce continuity rather than transition. While low-probability scenarios like sudden medical incapacity or unprecedented legal rulings could still prompt early departure, these remain outside current evidence and would require rapid shifts in congressional dynamics or personal circumstances to alter the consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$20,281 KL.
$20,281 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$20,281 KL.
$20,281 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second term, underway since early 2025, shows no institutional, legal, or personal pressures that historically precede presidential resignation. Traders assign a 96% probability to completion of the full term through 2026, reflecting the rarity of voluntary exits absent acute crises such as impeachment conviction or debilitating health events. Recent developments, including legislative priorities and public appearances, reinforce continuity rather than transition. While low-probability scenarios like sudden medical incapacity or unprecedented legal rulings could still prompt early departure, these remain outside current evidence and would require rapid shifts in congressional dynamics or personal circumstances to alter the consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,281Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second term, underway since early 2025, shows no institutional, legal, or personal pressures that historically precede presidential resignation. Traders assign a 96% probability to completion of the full term through 2026, reflecting the rarity of voluntary exits absent acute crises such as impeachment conviction or debilitating health events. Recent developments, including legislative priorities and public appearances, reinforce continuity rather than transition. While low-probability scenarios like sudden medical incapacity or unprecedented legal rulings could still prompt early departure, these remain outside current evidence and would require rapid shifts in congressional dynamics or personal circumstances to alter the consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$20,281Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term, underway since early 2025, shows no institutional, legal, or personal pressures that historically precede presidential resignation. Traders assign a 96% probability to completion of the full term through 2026, reflecting the rarity of voluntary exits absent acute crises such as impeachment conviction or debilitating health events. Recent developments, including legislative priorities and public appearances, reinforce continuity rather than transition. While low-probability scenarios like sudden medical incapacity or unprecedented legal rulings could still prompt early departure, these remain outside current evidence and would require rapid shifts in congressional dynamics or personal circumstances to alter the consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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