President Donald Trump has given no public indication of plans to step down before completing his term, with recent comments instead focusing on policy priorities and long-term political engagement through 2028 and beyond. Midterm election dynamics in November 2026 and isolated partisan speculation, such as forecasts of post-election pressure, have not produced supporting evidence from administration statements or structural developments. Traders assign a 96.3% probability to "No" based on the low historical frequency of presidential resignations absent acute crises, combined with Trump's demonstrated focus on serving out his mandate. Potential shifts could still arise from sudden health developments, Senate conviction following impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen personal decisions, though none currently register as probable catalysts in the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$23,291 KL.
$23,291 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$23,291 KL.
$23,291 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has given no public indication of plans to step down before completing his term, with recent comments instead focusing on policy priorities and long-term political engagement through 2028 and beyond. Midterm election dynamics in November 2026 and isolated partisan speculation, such as forecasts of post-election pressure, have not produced supporting evidence from administration statements or structural developments. Traders assign a 96.3% probability to "No" based on the low historical frequency of presidential resignations absent acute crises, combined with Trump's demonstrated focus on serving out his mandate. Potential shifts could still arise from sudden health developments, Senate conviction following impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen personal decisions, though none currently register as probable catalysts in the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$23,291Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has given no public indication of plans to step down before completing his term, with recent comments instead focusing on policy priorities and long-term political engagement through 2028 and beyond. Midterm election dynamics in November 2026 and isolated partisan speculation, such as forecasts of post-election pressure, have not produced supporting evidence from administration statements or structural developments. Traders assign a 96.3% probability to "No" based on the low historical frequency of presidential resignations absent acute crises, combined with Trump's demonstrated focus on serving out his mandate. Potential shifts could still arise from sudden health developments, Senate conviction following impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen personal decisions, though none currently register as probable catalysts in the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$23,291Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has given no public indication of plans to step down before completing his term, with recent comments instead focusing on policy priorities and long-term political engagement through 2028 and beyond. Midterm election dynamics in November 2026 and isolated partisan speculation, such as forecasts of post-election pressure, have not produced supporting evidence from administration statements or structural developments. Traders assign a 96.3% probability to "No" based on the low historical frequency of presidential resignations absent acute crises, combined with Trump's demonstrated focus on serving out his mandate. Potential shifts could still arise from sudden health developments, Senate conviction following impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen personal decisions, though none currently register as probable catalysts in the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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