Recent developments in the U.S.-Iran conflict, including stalled diplomacy over the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing military actions, have prompted sporadic Truth Social posts from President Trump invoking the phrase in question, with the most recent instance on August 12. Traders assign a 68% implied probability to "No" due to the short window remaining until the August 31 resolution, the pattern of such statements clustering around specific escalatory messaging rather than routine commentary, and the absence of fresh triggers that would reliably produce another qualifying remark. Historical uses have aligned with assertions of U.S. control or threats, while reduced posting frequency amid current conditions supports the prevailing consensus reflected in market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật32% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
32% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Recent developments in the U.S.-Iran conflict, including stalled diplomacy over the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing military actions, have prompted sporadic Truth Social posts from President Trump invoking the phrase in question, with the most recent instance on August 12. Traders assign a 68% implied probability to "No" due to the short window remaining until the August 31 resolution, the pattern of such statements clustering around specific escalatory messaging rather than routine commentary, and the absence of fresh triggers that would reliably produce another qualifying remark. Historical uses have aligned with assertions of U.S. control or threats, while reduced posting frequency amid current conditions supports the prevailing consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$113Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Recent developments in the U.S.-Iran conflict, including stalled diplomacy over the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing military actions, have prompted sporadic Truth Social posts from President Trump invoking the phrase in question, with the most recent instance on August 12. Traders assign a 68% implied probability to "No" due to the short window remaining until the August 31 resolution, the pattern of such statements clustering around specific escalatory messaging rather than routine commentary, and the absence of fresh triggers that would reliably produce another qualifying remark. Historical uses have aligned with assertions of U.S. control or threats, while reduced posting frequency amid current conditions supports the prevailing consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Khối lượng
$113Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in the U.S.-Iran conflict, including stalled diplomacy over the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing military actions, have prompted sporadic Truth Social posts from President Trump invoking the phrase in question, with the most recent instance on August 12. Traders assign a 68% implied probability to "No" due to the short window remaining until the August 31 resolution, the pattern of such statements clustering around specific escalatory messaging rather than routine commentary, and the absence of fresh triggers that would reliably produce another qualifying remark. Historical uses have aligned with assertions of U.S. control or threats, while reduced posting frequency amid current conditions supports the prevailing consensus reflected in market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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