A tight contest for first place in Acre’s 2026 Senate election reflects a fragmented field of established figures, with recent polls showing narrow leads that shift within the margin of error. August surveys place Márcio Bittar and Gladson Cameli near the top, followed closely by Jorge Viana, Mara Rocha, and Sérgio Petecão, while other names including Eduardo Velloso and Dr. Junior Feitosa register measurable support. Cameli’s pre-candidacy and ongoing eligibility appeal, combined with the re-election bids of the two sitting senators, sustain uncertainty over voter consolidation and turnout patterns. The multi-candidate dynamic and limited separation in polling averages keep implied probabilities compressed, with any late surge in one contender’s regional base or alliance shifts likely to widen gaps before October voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬爾西奧·比塔爾 44%
教授伊納西奧·莫雷拉 43%
Gladson Camelí 43%
若熱·維亞納 43%

馬爾西奧·比塔爾
44%

教授伊納西奧·莫雷拉
43%

Gladson Camelí
43%

若熱·維亞納
43%

瑪拉·羅查
43%

小費托薩博士
42%

愛德華多·維洛索
42%

Petecão
40%
馬爾西奧·比塔爾 44%
教授伊納西奧·莫雷拉 43%
Gladson Camelí 43%
若熱·維亞納 43%

馬爾西奧·比塔爾
44%

教授伊納西奧·莫雷拉
43%

Gladson Camelí
43%

若熱·維亞納
43%

瑪拉·羅查
43%

小費托薩博士
42%

愛德華多·維洛索
42%

Petecão
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A tight contest for first place in Acre’s 2026 Senate election reflects a fragmented field of established figures, with recent polls showing narrow leads that shift within the margin of error. August surveys place Márcio Bittar and Gladson Cameli near the top, followed closely by Jorge Viana, Mara Rocha, and Sérgio Petecão, while other names including Eduardo Velloso and Dr. Junior Feitosa register measurable support. Cameli’s pre-candidacy and ongoing eligibility appeal, combined with the re-election bids of the two sitting senators, sustain uncertainty over voter consolidation and turnout patterns. The multi-candidate dynamic and limited separation in polling averages keep implied probabilities compressed, with any late surge in one contender’s regional base or alliance shifts likely to widen gaps before October voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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