Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through the April 2025 election results plus later by-election gains and floor crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats or scheduled non-confidence votes. Recent August 2026 by-elections in Beaches–East York, Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, and North Vancouver–Capilano delivered clean Liberal victories, reinforcing stability amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. Opposition Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre trail in polling, and the next fixed election date under the Canada Elections Act remains October 15, 2029. Carney has emphasized governing priorities over any early dissolution, with no procedural triggers or opposition momentum suggesting a snap election in the near term. Traders therefore price early calls as remote until clearer signs of parliamentary weakness emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$94,711 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
6%
$94,711 交易量
2026年12月31日
$3,053 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through the April 2025 election results plus later by-election gains and floor crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats or scheduled non-confidence votes. Recent August 2026 by-elections in Beaches–East York, Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, and North Vancouver–Capilano delivered clean Liberal victories, reinforcing stability amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. Opposition Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre trail in polling, and the next fixed election date under the Canada Elections Act remains October 15, 2029. Carney has emphasized governing priorities over any early dissolution, with no procedural triggers or opposition momentum suggesting a snap election in the near term. Traders therefore price early calls as remote until clearer signs of parliamentary weakness emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$94,711結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through the April 2025 election results plus later by-election gains and floor crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats or scheduled non-confidence votes. Recent August 2026 by-elections in Beaches–East York, Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, and North Vancouver–Capilano delivered clean Liberal victories, reinforcing stability amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. Opposition Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre trail in polling, and the next fixed election date under the Canada Elections Act remains October 15, 2029. Carney has emphasized governing priorities over any early dissolution, with no procedural triggers or opposition momentum suggesting a snap election in the near term. Traders therefore price early calls as remote until clearer signs of parliamentary weakness emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$94,711結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETPrime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal majority government, secured through the April 2025 election results plus later by-election gains and floor crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats or scheduled non-confidence votes. Recent August 2026 by-elections in Beaches–East York, Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, and North Vancouver–Capilano delivered clean Liberal victories, reinforcing stability amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. Opposition Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre trail in polling, and the next fixed election date under the Canada Elections Act remains October 15, 2029. Carney has emphasized governing priorities over any early dissolution, with no procedural triggers or opposition momentum suggesting a snap election in the near term. Traders therefore price early calls as remote until clearer signs of parliamentary weakness emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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