Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a strong position heading into the November 3, 2026, general election after securing her party's nomination unopposed. Republican nominee Andy Biggs consolidated support in the July primary but enters the race as a polarizing figure, prompting some forecasters to shift the contest toward Democrats on the basis of Hobbs's fundraising edge and approval ratings. Arizona's swing-state dynamics, combined with an environment viewed as more favorable to Democrats this cycle, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Limited post-primary polling shows the race remains competitive in principle, though structural advantages for the sitting governor have shaped market probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$49,731 交易量
$49,731 交易量

民主黨
79%

共和黨
21%
$49,731 交易量
$49,731 交易量

民主黨
79%

共和黨
21%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a strong position heading into the November 3, 2026, general election after securing her party's nomination unopposed. Republican nominee Andy Biggs consolidated support in the July primary but enters the race as a polarizing figure, prompting some forecasters to shift the contest toward Democrats on the basis of Hobbs's fundraising edge and approval ratings. Arizona's swing-state dynamics, combined with an environment viewed as more favorable to Democrats this cycle, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Limited post-primary polling shows the race remains competitive in principle, though structural advantages for the sitting governor have shaped market probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions