Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs seeks a second term in Arizona's November 2026 gubernatorial election against Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nomination with over 73 percent in the July 21 primary. Recent head-to-head polling averages show Hobbs holding a modest lead, typically in the low 40s to high 30s range, while ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify the contest as Lean Democratic. These dynamics, combined with the advantages of incumbency and Arizona's recent voting patterns, underpin the market's 79 percent probability assigned to a Democratic winner. Scheduled events through the fall, including debates and further polling releases, remain key variables that could adjust trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$49,731 交易量
$49,731 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
79%
共和黨
21%
$49,731 交易量
$49,731 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$25,917 交易量
79%
共和黨
$23,815 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs seeks a second term in Arizona's November 2026 gubernatorial election against Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nomination with over 73 percent in the July 21 primary. Recent head-to-head polling averages show Hobbs holding a modest lead, typically in the low 40s to high 30s range, while ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify the contest as Lean Democratic. These dynamics, combined with the advantages of incumbency and Arizona's recent voting patterns, underpin the market's 79 percent probability assigned to a Democratic winner. Scheduled events through the fall, including debates and further polling releases, remain key variables that could adjust trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$49,731結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs seeks a second term in Arizona's November 2026 gubernatorial election against Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nomination with over 73 percent in the July 21 primary. Recent head-to-head polling averages show Hobbs holding a modest lead, typically in the low 40s to high 30s range, while ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify the contest as Lean Democratic. These dynamics, combined with the advantages of incumbency and Arizona's recent voting patterns, underpin the market's 79 percent probability assigned to a Democratic winner. Scheduled events through the fall, including debates and further polling releases, remain key variables that could adjust trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$49,731結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs seeks a second term in Arizona's November 2026 gubernatorial election against Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nomination with over 73 percent in the July 21 primary. Recent head-to-head polling averages show Hobbs holding a modest lead, typically in the low 40s to high 30s range, while ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify the contest as Lean Democratic. These dynamics, combined with the advantages of incumbency and Arizona's recent voting patterns, underpin the market's 79 percent probability assigned to a Democratic winner. Scheduled events through the fall, including debates and further polling releases, remain key variables that could adjust trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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