Skip to main content
Market icon
政治·保加利亞

保加利亞議會選舉：哪些政黨進入議會？

Market icon
政治·保加利亞

保加利亞議會選舉：哪些政黨進入議會？

$102,382 交易量

2026-04-19
Polymarket

$102,382 交易量

Polymarket
聯合左派（BSP）是否會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中贏得至少一個席位？ icon

BSP

$30,131 交易量

36%

道德、團結、榮譽（MECh）能否在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中贏得至少一個席位？ icon

MECh

$7,023 交易量

20%

Velichie（維利奇）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中至少贏得一個席位嗎？ icon

維利奇

$39,597 交易量

10%

“有這樣一個人民”（ITN）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中至少贏得一個席位嗎？ icon

有這樣一個人民（ITN）

$11,769 交易量

2%

聯盟為權利與自由（APS）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中贏得至少一個席位嗎？ icon

APS

$13,863 交易量

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid budget protests and corruption allegations, perpetuating chronic instability under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for National Assembly entry. A Market Links poll from April 7–14 projects Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, at 109 of 240 seats, ahead of GERB-SDS (57 seats), PP-DB (37), DPS (21), and Vazrazhdane (16), implying broad major-party success but risks for smaller lists like BSP below the threshold. Amid low prior turnout and warnings of vote-buying plus counterfeit euro schemes, Sofia has sought EU aid against Russian disinformation, while post-election coalition talks remain fraught given Radev's rejection of alliances with GERB, MRF, or PP-DB.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$102,382
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, triggered by the December 2025 resignation of the Zhelyazkov government amid budget protests and corruption allegations, perpetuating chronic instability under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for National Assembly entry. A Market Links poll from April 7–14 projects Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, at 109 of 240 seats, ahead of GERB-SDS (57 seats), PP-DB (37), DPS (21), and Vazrazhdane (16), implying broad major-party success but risks for smaller lists like BSP below the threshold. Amid low prior turnout and warnings of vote-buying plus counterfeit euro schemes, Sofia has sought EU aid against Russian disinformation, while post-election coalition talks remain fraught given Radev's rejection of alliances with GERB, MRF, or PP-DB.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$102,382
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"保加利亞議會選舉：哪些政黨進入議會？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "BSP" at 36%, followed by "MECh" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "保加利亞議會選舉：哪些政黨進入議會？" has generated $102.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "保加利亞議會選舉：哪些政黨進入議會？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "保加利亞議會選舉：哪些政黨進入議會？" is "BSP" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "MECh" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "保加利亞議會選舉：哪些政黨進入議會？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.