The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$18,757 交易量
$18,757 交易量
2026-05-22
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$18,757 交易量
$18,757 交易量
2026-05-22
<80
$1,614 交易量
No
80–85
$4,802 交易量
No
85–90
$6,820 交易量
Yes
90–95
$3,313 交易量
No
95–100
$1,533 交易量
No
100+
$674 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$18,757結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$18,757結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions