Austin Scott’s commanding position in Georgia’s 8th congressional district stems from its consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. As the long-serving incumbent first elected in 2010, Scott advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Kelly Esti, a Navy veteran and PhD holder, narrowly won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the rural, south-central Georgia district. Limited recent polling, modest Democratic fundraising visibility, and the absence of major national or local disruptions have reinforced trader consensus around the Republican outcome. Late-cycle national economic shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected developments involving the candidates remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,860 交易量
$41,860 交易量
2026-11-02
奧斯汀·斯科特（共和黨）
94%
Kelly Esti（民主黨）
7%
$41,860 交易量
$41,860 交易量
2026-11-02
奧斯汀·斯科特（共和黨）
$21,792 交易量
94%
Kelly Esti（民主黨）
$20,068 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Scott’s commanding position in Georgia’s 8th congressional district stems from its consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. As the long-serving incumbent first elected in 2010, Scott advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Kelly Esti, a Navy veteran and PhD holder, narrowly won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the rural, south-central Georgia district. Limited recent polling, modest Democratic fundraising visibility, and the absence of major national or local disruptions have reinforced trader consensus around the Republican outcome. Late-cycle national economic shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected developments involving the candidates remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$41,860結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Scott’s commanding position in Georgia’s 8th congressional district stems from its consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. As the long-serving incumbent first elected in 2010, Scott advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Kelly Esti, a Navy veteran and PhD holder, narrowly won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the rural, south-central Georgia district. Limited recent polling, modest Democratic fundraising visibility, and the absence of major national or local disruptions have reinforced trader consensus around the Republican outcome. Late-cycle national economic shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected developments involving the candidates remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,860結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETAustin Scott’s commanding position in Georgia’s 8th congressional district stems from its consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. As the long-serving incumbent first elected in 2010, Scott advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Kelly Esti, a Navy veteran and PhD holder, narrowly won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the rural, south-central Georgia district. Limited recent polling, modest Democratic fundraising visibility, and the absence of major national or local disruptions have reinforced trader consensus around the Republican outcome. Late-cycle national economic shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout, or unexpected developments involving the candidates remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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