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政治·Uk

哈克尼市長選舉贏家

Market icon
政治·Uk

哈克尼市長選舉贏家

Zoë Garbett 28%

伊娃·施泰因哈特 28%

瓦希德·阿爾馬西 27%

塔雷克·格雷格 27%

Polymarket
最新

Zoë Garbett 28%

伊娃·施泰因哈特 28%

瓦希德·阿爾馬西 27%

塔雷克·格雷格 27%

Polymarket
最新
Zoë Garbett 會贏得 2026 年哈克尼倫敦自治市鎮市長選舉嗎？ icon

Zoë Garbett

$0 交易量

28%

伊娃·施泰因哈特會贏得2026年哈克尼倫敦自治市市長選舉嗎？ icon

伊娃·施泰因哈特

$0 交易量

28%

瓦希德·阿爾馬西會贏得2026年哈克尼區市長選舉嗎？ icon

瓦希德·阿爾馬西

$0 交易量

27%

塔雷克·格雷格會贏得2026年哈克尼區長選舉嗎？ icon

塔雷克·格雷格

$0 交易量

27%

Caroline Woodley會贏得2026年哈克尼倫敦自治市長選舉嗎？ icon

Caroline Woodley

$0 交易量

27%

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.**Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Hackney mayoral race under the supplementary vote system, with no candidate exceeding 28% implied probability amid five contenders.** Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley faces a strong challenge from Green Party's Zoë Garbett, buoyed by a mid-April JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% vote intention borough-wide—up 17 points from 2022—versus Labour's 33% drop, signaling voter shifts on housing, environment, and council performance. Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt, Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, and Conservative Tareke Gregg split remaining support at 11%, 8%, and 5%, respectively, per the poll, heightening fragmentation risks. With the 7 May election three weeks away, hustings, turnout in progressive wards, and second-preference flows could tip the balance, as Hackney's Labour stronghold faces its tightest mayoral contest in decades.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-05-07
市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.**Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Hackney mayoral race under the supplementary vote system, with no candidate exceeding 28% implied probability amid five contenders.** Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley faces a strong challenge from Green Party's Zoë Garbett, buoyed by a mid-April JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens at 40% vote intention borough-wide—up 17 points from 2022—versus Labour's 33% drop, signaling voter shifts on housing, environment, and council performance. Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt, Reform UK's Vahid Almasi, and Conservative Tareke Gregg split remaining support at 11%, 8%, and 5%, respectively, per the poll, heightening fragmentation risks. With the 7 May election three weeks away, hustings, turnout in progressive wards, and second-preference flows could tip the balance, as Hackney's Labour stronghold faces its tightest mayoral contest in decades.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-05-07
市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哈克尼市長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zoë Garbett" at 28%, followed by "伊娃·施泰因哈特" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"哈克尼市長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "哈克尼市長選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哈克尼市長選舉贏家" is "Zoë Garbett" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伊娃·施泰因哈特" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哈克尼市長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.