Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X posting from April 16-18, driven by a sharp slowdown in his social media cadence over the past 48 hours—dropping to just a few posts amid SpaceX Starship V3 static fire tests and Grok benchmark wins. This tempers expectations from earlier April's 40+ daily average (e.g., 299 posts April 7-14), with 40-64 (27%) gaining traction as bettors speculate Musk is distracted by xAI developments or undisclosed priorities, per market chatter like "he's busy bro." Absent confirmed catalysts like Tesla earnings or major launches, the closely contested lower bins reflect uncertainty in his volatile posting patterns, which spike on viral political commentary or tech updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
最新
$67,060 交易量
最新
$67,060 交易量
2026-04-18
少於40
4%
40-64
27%
65-89
39%
90-114
17%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
最新
$67,060 交易量
最新
$67,060 交易量
2026-04-18
少於40
$13,895 交易量
4%
40-64
$4,412 交易量
27%
65-89
$3,083 交易量
39%
90-114
$2,381 交易量
17%
115-139
$3,756 交易量
9%
140-164
$6,037 交易量
2%
165-189
$7,419 交易量
1%
190-214
$11,683 交易量
<1%
215-239
$5,370 交易量
<1%
240+
$9,025 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X posting from April 16-18, driven by a sharp slowdown in his social media cadence over the past 48 hours—dropping to just a few posts amid SpaceX Starship V3 static fire tests and Grok benchmark wins. This tempers expectations from earlier April's 40+ daily average (e.g., 299 posts April 7-14), with 40-64 (27%) gaining traction as bettors speculate Musk is distracted by xAI developments or undisclosed priorities, per market chatter like "he's busy bro." Absent confirmed catalysts like Tesla earnings or major launches, the closely contested lower bins reflect uncertainty in his volatile posting patterns, which spike on viral political commentary or tech updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$67,060結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X posting from April 16-18, driven by a sharp slowdown in his social media cadence over the past 48 hours—dropping to just a few posts amid SpaceX Starship V3 static fire tests and Grok benchmark wins. This tempers expectations from earlier April's 40+ daily average (e.g., 299 posts April 7-14), with 40-64 (27%) gaining traction as bettors speculate Musk is distracted by xAI developments or undisclosed priorities, per market chatter like "he's busy bro." Absent confirmed catalysts like Tesla earnings or major launches, the closely contested lower bins reflect uncertainty in his volatile posting patterns, which spike on viral political commentary or tech updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$67,060結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X posting from April 16-18, driven by a sharp slowdown in his social media cadence over the past 48 hours—dropping to just a few posts amid SpaceX Starship V3 static fire tests and Grok benchmark wins. This tempers expectations from earlier April's 40+ daily average (e.g., 299 posts April 7-14), with 40-64 (27%) gaining traction as bettors speculate Musk is distracted by xAI developments or undisclosed priorities, per market chatter like "he's busy bro." Absent confirmed catalysts like Tesla earnings or major launches, the closely contested lower bins reflect uncertainty in his volatile posting patterns, which spike on viral political commentary or tech updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions