President Trump's scathing social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV over the past week, labeling the first U.S.-born pontiff weak on foreign policy, crime, and Iran war strategy, have intensified a public feud, yet traders price "No" at 71.5% probability of further disparagement by April 30. The pope's restrained replies aboard his papal flight—emphasizing peace, dialogue, and dismissing fear—signal de-escalation without retaliation, while refusing Trump's implied demand for apology. Leo XIV's Chicago roots and brief pontificate since May 2025 may temper escalation versus past clashes, and no summits, hearings, or policy deadlines loom to provoke renewal, anchoring trader consensus on restraint.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-04-30
最新
最新
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's scathing social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV over the past week, labeling the first U.S.-born pontiff weak on foreign policy, crime, and Iran war strategy, have intensified a public feud, yet traders price "No" at 71.5% probability of further disparagement by April 30. The pope's restrained replies aboard his papal flight—emphasizing peace, dialogue, and dismissing fear—signal de-escalation without retaliation, while refusing Trump's implied demand for apology. Leo XIV's Chicago roots and brief pontificate since May 2025 may temper escalation versus past clashes, and no summits, hearings, or policy deadlines loom to provoke renewal, anchoring trader consensus on restraint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
交易量
$4,484結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's scathing social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV over the past week, labeling the first U.S.-born pontiff weak on foreign policy, crime, and Iran war strategy, have intensified a public feud, yet traders price "No" at 71.5% probability of further disparagement by April 30. The pope's restrained replies aboard his papal flight—emphasizing peace, dialogue, and dismissing fear—signal de-escalation without retaliation, while refusing Trump's implied demand for apology. Leo XIV's Chicago roots and brief pontificate since May 2025 may temper escalation versus past clashes, and no summits, hearings, or policy deadlines loom to provoke renewal, anchoring trader consensus on restraint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$4,484結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's scathing social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV over the past week, labeling the first U.S.-born pontiff weak on foreign policy, crime, and Iran war strategy, have intensified a public feud, yet traders price "No" at 71.5% probability of further disparagement by April 30. The pope's restrained replies aboard his papal flight—emphasizing peace, dialogue, and dismissing fear—signal de-escalation without retaliation, while refusing Trump's implied demand for apology. Leo XIV's Chicago roots and brief pontificate since May 2025 may temper escalation versus past clashes, and no summits, hearings, or policy deadlines loom to provoke renewal, anchoring trader consensus on restraint.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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