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唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月17日至24日?

Market icon

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月17日至24日?

100-119 34%

80-99 30%

120-139 25%

140-159 12%

Polymarket
最新

$10,258 交易量

100-119 34%

80-99 30%

120-139 25%

140-159 12%

Polymarket
最新

$10,258 交易量

少於20

$5,712 交易量

<1%

20-39

$954 交易量

<1%

40-59

$295 交易量

1%

60-79

$384 交易量

4%

80-99

$212 交易量

30%

100-119

$214 交易量

34%

120-139

$248 交易量

25%

140-159

$247 交易量

12%

160-179

$192 交易量

5%

180-199

$555 交易量

3%

200+

$1,248 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day throughout 2025, persists into April 2026 amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis with Iran, where his recent threats, ultimatums, and ceasefire announcements have fueled frequent updates. Trader consensus favors 100-119 posts (36%) for April 17-24, closely trailed by 80-99 (29.5%) and 120-139 (25%), reflecting historical patterns during executive time and evening bursts but uncertainty from his presidential schedule. The race stays tight due to variable posting tied to diplomatic developments; Iran de-escalation or talks progress could lower volume, while new foreign policy escalations, executive orders, or domestic announcements might push toward higher ranges.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$10,258
結束日期
2026-04-24
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day throughout 2025, persists into April 2026 amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis with Iran, where his recent threats, ultimatums, and ceasefire announcements have fueled frequent updates. Trader consensus favors 100-119 posts (36%) for April 17-24, closely trailed by 80-99 (29.5%) and 120-139 (25%), reflecting historical patterns during executive time and evening bursts but uncertainty from his presidential schedule. The race stays tight due to variable posting tied to diplomatic developments; Iran de-escalation or talks progress could lower volume, while new foreign policy escalations, executive orders, or domestic announcements might push toward higher ranges.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$10,258
結束日期
2026-04-24
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月17日至24日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-119" at 34%, followed by "80-99" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月17日至24日?" has generated $10.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月17日至24日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月17日至24日?" is "100-119" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-99" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年4月17日至24日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.