Trader consensus favors Seattle's March 25 high temperature clustering tightly around 48-53°F, propelled by NOAA's latest Weather Prediction Center guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 50°F amid a weakening upper-level ridge and persistent Puget Sound marine stratus. Key differentiators hinge on boundary layer cloud cover: prolonged low stratus inflow caps heating in the leading 48-51°F bins by limiting solar insolation, while 52-53°F odds reflect potential midday sun breaks per soundings; hotter outliers above 54°F demand improbable ridging reinforcement. Cooler tails below 46°F require unforecast onshore gale fronts. Historical late-March norms average 54°F, but current cool advection tilts markets downward, with overnight updates pivotal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
48-49°F 30%
50-51°F 29%
52-53°F 26%
56-57°F 17%
39°F or below
11%
40-41°F
11%
42-43°F
14%
44-45°F
11%
46-47°F
14%
48-49°F
30%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
17%
58°F or higher
11%
48-49°F 30%
50-51°F 29%
52-53°F 26%
56-57°F 17%
39°F or below
11%
40-41°F
11%
42-43°F
14%
44-45°F
11%
46-47°F
14%
48-49°F
30%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
17%
58°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Seattle's March 25 high temperature clustering tightly around 48-53°F, propelled by NOAA's latest Weather Prediction Center guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 50°F amid a weakening upper-level ridge and persistent Puget Sound marine stratus. Key differentiators hinge on boundary layer cloud cover: prolonged low stratus inflow caps heating in the leading 48-51°F bins by limiting solar insolation, while 52-53°F odds reflect potential midday sun breaks per soundings; hotter outliers above 54°F demand improbable ridging reinforcement. Cooler tails below 46°F require unforecast onshore gale fronts. Historical late-March norms average 54°F, but current cool advection tilts markets downward, with overnight updates pivotal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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