Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on clear to mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds over Incheon on September 7, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where reduced cloud cover and minimal moisture advection favor peak temperatures in this narrow band rather than extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C respectively tracks this model agreement, with lower odds on 27 °C or 30 °C+ underscoring limited forecast spread. Final resolution will hinge on the official Incheon station reading, with any last-minute model adjustments from the evening update potentially shifting sentiment before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
28°C 54%
29°C 38%
27°C 5%
30°C 5%
$11,244 交易量
$11,244 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
54%
29°C
38%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 54%
29°C 38%
27°C 5%
30°C 5%
$11,244 交易量
$11,244 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
54%
29°C
38%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on clear to mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds over Incheon on September 7, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where reduced cloud cover and minimal moisture advection favor peak temperatures in this narrow band rather than extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % and 37 % implied probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C respectively tracks this model agreement, with lower odds on 27 °C or 30 °C+ underscoring limited forecast spread. Final resolution will hinge on the official Incheon station reading, with any last-minute model adjustments from the evening update potentially shifting sentiment before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions